Thursday, November 30, 2017

New things learned

This will probably turn into a long thread sorry about that but there is new stuff coming along both secular which I want to include and psychological which you may want to exclude. There are plenty of thaumaturges out there these days some of them are quite good. take your pick.

But you have found me and I am not compromising my ideas for popularity so here goes.

I had a stroke recently, severe enough to prevent me driving and presenting me with the difficulty of a rewire in which I can not be certain of my spelling, so try and bear that in mind when what seems to be coming across as gobbledegook. I should probably refrain from making quips or trying to be funny. That is not going to happen.

I'd like to refrain from bad language but I am prone to it and it is something I have trouble refraining from, sorry.

Also I am religious but asking more than my share of forgiveness from god, seem to be managing to keep up with the royal chariot, for reasons that escape me -except for god's magnanimity.

I am going to blow another fuse some day too soon and then it will all be over for me but I am trying to set whoever wishes to learn the things I do with these occasional Room101s.

So how do you get to be a thaumaturge?
The first thing is that you take responsibility for all of your mistakes. This is because people are going to see them and some of them are incapable of letting go. I am no different and I used to hold onto spites and seek revenge but it is not something that brings consolation and it clouds vision. People will always manage to screw up somehow.

One of the things I have noticed is the behaviour of earthquakes varies with erupting volcanoes. The incidents of Magnitude sevens and larger has dropped this one might have been a larger one: M 6.7 - Central Mid-Atlantic Ridge
 2017-11-30 06:32(UTC) 1.108°S 23.418°W
It was large enough to make the tsunami advisor.
It could have been a 7M but there is no way of knowing. The other thing is that I believe there exists a new terror weapon something based on star wars technology and this is capable of affecting the outer atmosphere thus altering the weather in the same way that conventional nuclear devices have in the past.

Whilst damaging the environment for most of us they present nothing to fear that god has not allowed for. Of course if you get in the way you may become a statistic. Terrorism tends to burn out over a decade when retribution tales place, not that that can reassure the millions that terrorists mange to kill in the process. There is nothing to be done but cope. So you may as well keep your faith.

So what faith have you got?

Whatever you have do you know how to build on it or are you the kind who keeps their eyes closed and bets on wishing well schemes?
Beware of blind faith it runs out but in seeking to improve your relationship with god, you will find harmony with you.

If you are agnostic or atheist matching things that happen should for a long list of coincidences that will keep you wondering. But you are at liberty to do what you like. There is no penalty for ignorance other than not escaping if you can. God makes it rain for the righteous as much as the unrighteous and you never know who is righteous as we all live in a bubble of out own devising.

God has unleashed a great river of truth that is scouring the land figuratively, so if you get knocked over by a particularly large dead fish get back up as quick as you can. We are all magnets that can only point one way so long as we make an effort to clean the crud off ourselves. In the biblical times it meant a lot of ceremonial stuff but these days have gone. You have to keep looking at yourself to make sure you are not wallowing because that means you are being driven.

You may manage to get to the end of a long life being driven the wrong way. but we all make choices. It has been my choice to try and understand how the world works, sometimes that includes relearning my own history. But mostly it has been unlearning science. I am not telling you to do the same.
But I am offering to show you what I have found out. It is up to you to take what you want of it. If I am too complex for you then my email is weatherlawyer@gmail.com

I will try to point out what I mean if you ask me for clarification. I am not expecting to be swamped not even with spam.

So here we go with today's charts. You might like to get hold of a globe atlas to remind yourself how small Greenland is compared to Africa. Incidentally Africa is an almost perfect ellipse if you fill in the bite taken out of the south east. And they are all the same basic shape yet manage to do different things with the weather.

The huge blocking high over Greenland has stabilised and is moving east over the next few days, it may last until the next lunar phase unless there is a bump in the system (for which see smoothness or vapour locks.)





It appears that the presence of the High also signifies volcanic activity. Presumably that also continues until the next phase. One thing a dedicated weather lore watcher needs is to understand the phases. In the countryside you can learn to tell the time from the moon. Mark its position against your windows and note the times. Note too the shapes as they change.

Watch out for the declination; it drops like the sun drops but it drops in a month not a year.

You should learn to treat these as seasons:
http://weatherfaqs.org.uk/node/179
Though they are not as regular as the calendar - which is just a measure of the drop in the solar declination. Obviously these have been calculated from statistics and only for Britain and not all regions. But you should be aware of what they mean for you wherever you live:

Singularities developed for the British Isles
Submitted by uk.sci.weather on Mon, 21/01/2008 - 9:34pm.

Climatologists have always been alive to the fact that similar weather patterns/types occur at certain times of the year with varying degrees of regularity - an annual 'singularity'. For a while, before dynamical methods of long-range forecasting were used, singularities were very popular, though controversial.

1. CEP Brooks
2. HH Lamb
3. Alexander Buchan
4. Barry and Perry (after Lamb as above)
5. Warmest days/periods
6. Coldest days/periods

IMPORTANT: Remember that many of the below were developed mainly using data for the latter half of the 19th, and first half of the 20th centuries. The climate has undoubtedly changed, whatever the reason! Use these with much caution.

[ The term 'singularity' was apparently coined (according to HH Lamb) by A. Schmauss in Berlin in 1938. In an article entitled "Synoptische Singularitäten", Schmauss demonstrated that the curves (in graphical terms) of meteorological elements (such as temperature), show singular points in the mathematical sense (dy/dx=0), and apparently the name came quickly into use for this reason.]
1. C.E.P. Brooks

(ref: 1946: "Annual recurrences of weather; 'singularities'."; Weather, London, 1. pp. 107-130)

Period studied: 1889 - 1940
Principal groupings:
(1) October to early February, stormy periods with minor anticyclonic interludes.
(2) February to May, cold waves associated with northeasterly winds.
(3) The summer period of alternating cool fresh northwesterly and warm, sultry southwesterly winds.
(4) September and early October, spells of anticyclonic conditions and late "summers".
 Guide      Type      Overall period      Notional 'peak'      Frequency in 52 yr.
 Early January      "Stormy"      Jan 5th - Jan 17th      Jan 8th      45/52=87%
 Mid January      "Anticyclonic"      Jan 18th - Jan 24th      Jan 20th/21st      45/52=87%
 Late January      "Stormy"      Jan 24th - Feb 1st      Jan 31st      44/52=85%
 Early February      "Anticyclonic"      Feb 8th - Feb 16th      Feb 13th      29/52=56%
 Late February      "Cold spell"      Feb 21st - Feb 25th      Feb 22nd      22/52=42%
 Late February & early March      "Stormy"      Feb 26th - Mar 9th      Mar 1st      46/52=88%
 Mid-March      "Anticyclonic"      Mar 12th - Mar 19th      Mar 13th/14th      27/52=52%
 Late March      "Stormy"      Mar 24th - Mar 31st      Mar 28th      35/52=67%
 Mid April      "Stormy"      Apr 10th - Apr 15th      Apr 14th      37/52=71%
 Late April      "Unsettled"      Apr 23rd - Apr 26th      Apr 25th      27/52=52%
 June      "Summer monsoon"      Jun 1st - Jun 21st      n/a      40/52=77%
 July      "Warm period"      Jul 10th - Jul 24th      n/a      n/a
 Late August      "Stormy"      Aug 20th - Aug 30th      Aug 28th      35/52=67%
 Early September      "Anticyclonic"      Sep 1st - Sep 17th      Sep 10th      43/52=83%
 Mid September      "Stormy"      Sep 17th - Sep 24th      Sep 20th      31/52=60%
 Early October      "Stormy"      Oct 5th - Oct 12th      Oct 8th/9th      35/52=67%
 Mid October      "Anticyclonic"      Oct 16th - Oct 20th      Oct 19th      35/52=67%
 Late October & early November      "Stormy"      Oct 24th - Nov 13th      Oct 29th, Nov 9th, Nov 12th      52/52=100%
 Mid November      "Anticyclonic"      Nov 15th - Nov 21st      Nov 18th, 20th      34/52=65%
 Late November & early December      "Stormy"      Nov 24th - Dec 14th      Nov 25th, Dec 9th      51/52=98%
 Pre-Christmas      "Anticyclonic"      Dec 18th - Dec 24th      Dec 19th - 21st      29/52=56%
 Post-Christmas      "Stormy"      Dec 25th - Jan 1st      Dec 28th      43/52=83%
2. Singularities affecting the British Isles (after HH Lamb)

Hubert Lamb identified five 'natural' seasons, which don't perfectly correspond with calendar months. They are defined thus:-
 High summer:      18th June to 9th September
 Autumn:      10th September to 19th November
 Early winter:      20th November to 19th January
 Late winter:      20th January to 29th March
 Spring:      30th March to 17th June

According to Lamb, these are the important characteristics of each of the five 'seasons' as defined above.
HIGH SUMMER [18th June - 9th September]:
High frequency (using lengthy datasets) of similar weather types ... i.e. dry/warm or wet/cool ... in the period analysed by Lamb (late 19th & first-half 20th centuries), years with cyclonic/wet sequences are twice as likely as persistently anticyclonic (A) types ... in other words, in 'high summer', you are more likely to experience an 'unsettled' summer than a quiet, fine one; a common experience! ... depressions tend to be shallow, moving less rapidly than in winter (weak driving polar front jetstream [PFJ]) ... can remain slow-moving for many days ... the fine (A type) summers tend to result from 'offshoots' of the Azores high moving east across southern Britain / northern France ... frontal systems being weak and only of passing concern ... mainly affecting (in their most active phase) the north-west of these islands ... there is a tendency for high cells to move east (progression) and to end up over Germany or Denmark, introducing a warm or very warm S (southerly, Tc) type across central and SE Britain ... such periods are ended by troughs approaching from the Atlantic ... perhaps with a warm-plume advection type ahead ... thunderstorms & heavy rain etc. ... however, occasionally the PFJ is displaced much further south & somewhat stronger than 'summer-time' average (e.g. 2007) ... frequent depressions of an active nature ... plenty of rain ... temperatures near or below average.

AUTUMN [10th September - 19th November]:
First week (10th September onwards) driest of year on average, especially central & eastern areas ... but some years show tendency to a mid-September cyclonic / wet spell ... localised heavy (thundery) rainfall resulting from slow-moving areas of low pressure ... early / mid October can be 'two-faced': often 'unsettled' with rain/showers, but occasionally can give rise to anticyclonic / warm conditions, with southerly [S] weather types lifting temperatures to 'near-record' levels ... between 23rd October & 11th November, strong signal for wet/stormy weather with a sharp reduction in A-type weather; sharp reduction this type last week of October c.f. first week.

EARLY WINTER [20th November - 19th January]:
Lengthy spells of any weather type less likely than 'high summer' or 'autumn' ... any extended types tend to be westerly / zonal /mild in nature ... unusual for type established early in this period to persist to end (or into 'Late winter') ... tendency to a post-Christmas 'stormy' period [recent notable examples 1997, 1998 & 1999] ... in former times, if these were to the south, perhaps associated with significant snow [ but not so much in recent years ] ... circulation type around 'New Year' some guide to type later in winter ... significant correlation [Lamb] between cold weather late December / early January & cold winters overall.

LATE WINTER [20th January - 29th March]:
In 50% cases, 'lengthy spells' evident, but no preference to one type or the other (i.e. as between zonal-mild-windy & blocked/cold) ... coldest winters when persistent blocking highs Scandinavia/Iceland regions (Pc/Am types) ... cold, northerly types tend not to last much more than 5-7 days (and in recent years, not particularly cold anyway) ... mildest winters from high zonality [high NAOI] (Tm or rPm types) ... strong correlation between wet winters & mild winters ... dry/anticyclonic mid-March conditions often extend (persistence of type) for 2 weeks or more ... with right conditions, droughts can be prevalent & potentially severe, depending upon precipitation totals earlier.

SPRING [30th March - 17th June]:
Least likely to have extended 'runs' of similar weather ... changeability from day-to-day marked ... N & E types fairly frequent (high pressure anywhere from NW to NE), especially second-half April ... 'late' snowfalls not unusual (even in these days) due northerly outbreaks / polar lows or troughs ... May often brings quiet/dry with increasing chance of extended periods A-type.
[ Based on "The Climate of the British Isles", Longman, 1976 & Lamb's original work.]

5th - 11th January
RENEWED STORMINESS OF EARLY JANUARY
Westerly type very frequent, esp on 8th. Anticyclonic type very infrequent. The mild/oceanic air masses do not penetrate into central Europe as often here as with earlier cyclonic singularities of 26th Nov, 28th Dec, and (later) 1st Feb.

20th - 23rd January
ANTICYCLONIC IN EUROPE AND S. & E. BRITAIN
Dry/frosty in Europe. Anticyclonic, Southerly & Easterly types frequent in Britain.

27th January - 3rd February
RENEWED STORMINESS - GALES AND RAIN OR SNOW
Lows pass into North & Central Europe from Atlantic. The first lows of the series commonly approach England from the South-West (N.B. liability for freezing rain with advance of mild air after some days of frost). Anticyclonic type rare.

8th - 13th February
FEBRUARY ANTICYCLONES
Year's highest frequency of winter sports conditions in Alps & Southern Germany (a second peak follows in central & Eastern Europe 19th to 24th Feb.). Record frosts in cold winters. Fogs common inland in Britain when high forms in maritime air: Anticyclonic, Southerly & Easterly types common in Britain.

26th February - 9th March
COLD, STORMY PERIOD
northerly outbreak from Norwegian Sea and cyclonic weather over N. Sea and surrounding lands. Cyclonic type maximum 26th February - 2nd March; Northerly type maximum 28th February - 3rd March.

12th - 22nd March
EARLY SPRING ANTICYCLONES OVER BRITAIN & EUROPE
Very quiet weather - large diurnal range of temperatures. Anticyclonic, Northerly & Easterly types common.

28th March - 1st April
COLD, STORMY PERIOD
First of a series of northerly outbreaks from Norwegian Sea, with Cyclonic conditions in West, Central Europe and the Mediterranean. These outbreaks commonly occur about 4 times in April & early May, punctuated by warm, quiet anticyclonic intervals.

12th - 19th April
COLD, STORMY PERIOD
The most regular of the successive cold stormy spells in April, (see above). Northerly type very common about 17th - 19th April. Atlantic highs liable to affect West & South-West Britain.

29th April - 16th May
NORTHERLY WEATHER - SOME ANTICYCLONIC INTERVALS
Northerly type very common, but often anticyclonic in west. Easterly type common; and Westerly type less common than at any time of the year.

21st - 31st May
FORE-MONSOON FINE WEATHER PERIODS
Anticyclonic & Southerly types very common. Fine, dry period.

1st - 4th June & 12th - 14th June
FIRST WAVES OF EUROPEAN SUMMER MONSOON: COOL, STORMY EPISODES
Atlantic lows move across UK with Cyclonic type very frequent 1st to 4th June. Successive lows travel rather further north and Westerly types become more common. The 2nd monsoonal wave reaches Germany around 12th - 14th June and the 3rd wave 18th - 22nd June (see below) brings westerlies in across the British Isles as the commonest type once more. These events are punctuated by recoveries of the anticyclonic tendency associated with advances of the Azores High. Thunder is very common over continent 3rd - 5th June as the cool oceanic air moves in over the hot land.

 5th - 11th June
JUNE ANTICYCLONES OVER UK & W. EUROPE
Anticyclonic intervals to June monsoon (see above). Anticyclonic type very common around 7th.

18th - 22nd June (and following fortnight)
RETURN OF THE WESTERLIES
The most regular monsoonal invasion of the continent by cool, oceanic air from the west and NW leading to thunder and cyclonic activity. The S & SW of Britain often remaining anticyclonic: But over most of Britain, Westerly type is very common, especially around 20th. This 3rd wave of the monsoon reaches Germany about 24th - 26th June. Later waves are usually less pronounced and occur with varying regularity in early, mid & late July and mid-August.

23rd - 30th July & following week
THUNDERY, CYCLONIC WEATHER OVER EUROPE & BRITISH ISLES
Stagnant lows common. Cyclonic type very frequent, especially around 4th - 8th August. Westerly & North-Westerly types also commonly occur. The mean temperature curve reaches its seasonal peak in most of the British Isles in the week 30th July - 6th August. (See also below: re "when do the warmest days occur?") Following the last singularity, late-summer anticyclones give Anticyclonic as common type around 15th August before the first storms of Autumn.

16th - 30th August
FIRST STORMS OF AUTUMN
Depressions passing in high latitudes frequently produce cold N'ly outbreaks in the Norwegian Sea. In the British Isles, the weather is commonly Westerly or Cyclonic types, though Anticyclonic type may persist in the south.

5th - 30th September
"OLD-WIVES SUMMER" ANTICYCLONES
Peak dates for Anticyclonic type in Britain are 7th - 10th, 16th - 21st and 30th Sep. The highs pass across the British Isles into Europe and Siberia. More cyclonic and Southerly type weather affects Britain after each 'High' system has passed away east into the continent. Cyclonic type is quite common around 24th Sep, and in cyclonic autumns, when the anticyclones keep further south, the period around 24th Sep is particularly liable to gales with vigorous lows passing over or close to the country. There is an increasing cyclonic trend during October in most years, but the frequency of anticyclones remains high early in the month, 1st to 10th Oct.

24th October - 13th November
LATE AUTUMN RAINS
Stormy Cyclonic type frequent, especially in 2 peak periods 26th - 29th October and 9th - 12th Nov. In the interval there is a tendency to fair, mild Southerly type weather with high pressure over the continent. Anticyclonic type is very uncommon in Britain 26th - 28th Oct. Westerly types become increasingly frequent througout the period, as successive lows pass further north, reaching a peak on 8th - 12th Nov. Other common types in this period are: - Easterly type around 1st/2nd Nov; Northerly type around 25th/26th Oct. This last marks the first and most prominent autumn N'ly outbreak - which is followed in some years by rising pressure in Scandinavia with continental anticyclones common around 30th Oct - 6th Nov.

15th - 24th November
QUIET, FOGGY ANTICYCLONIC INTERLUDE
Brief period, especially about 17th to 19th Nov. when Anticyclonic type is common, the anticyclones forming over Britain & W. Europe in maritime air. Westerly & Cyclonic types are uncommon at this time.

25th November - 10th December
EARLY-WINTER STORMS & RAINS
Cyclonic period associated with progressive intensification of Atlantic westerlies and mobile lows, rather than with stagnant cyclonic situations over Europe. Waves of mild air spread east across Britain until blocked and lifted by the monsoonal development of stagnant cold air in the heart of the Eurasian continent. Cyclonic type is very common 25th - 29th November & 6th - 12th Dec. Westerly & North-Westerly types common throughout the period.
19th - 23rd DecemberCONTINENTAL & N. EUROPEAN ANTICYCLONES OF THE
WINTER SOLSTICEQuiet, frosty weather on the European lowlands. Southerly type very common in Britain with Anticyclonic and Easterly types also quite frequent. Gales still frequent in Scotland. A preliminary, well-marked anticyclonic spell about 12th Dec commonly affects only East & Northern Europe.

25th - 31st December
CHRISTMAS-TIDE, THAW & STORMS OF THE END OF THE YEARCyclonic & westerly types common in Britain, carried by a second surge into central Europe.

3. BUCHAN'S SPELLS.

(NB: strictly based on records across south-east Scotland, and specifically Edinburgh.)

Nine periods where put forward by Alexander Buchan in 1867 on the basis of 50 years of observations (though some texts quote only 1857-1866), constituting fairly reliable periods of unseasonal cold (6 cases) or warmth (3 cases).
Note that Buchan himself did not claim these as 'singularities' and it is widely accepted that they have little real predictive merit: they are included here for the sake of historical completeness. (**=shows some correspondence with Lamb etc.)
7th - 14th February: COLD**
11th - 14 April: COLD
9th - 14th May: COLD**
29th June - 4th July: COLD/COOL
12th - 15th July: WARM
6th - 11th August: COLD/COOL
12th - 15th August: WARM**
6th - 13th November: COLD
3rd - 14th December: WARM/MILD**

4. BARRY & PERRY (based on / updates by Lamb, as above & later)

( extracted from "The Climate of the British Isles", ed: Chandler & Gregory, chapter author A.H. Perry )
Where the 'type frequency' is=> 60%, then the characteristic is in bold type.
 Period:      Circulation type (Lamb):      Characteristics:      Type frequency (%)
(& significance level):      Period:
 20 - 23 January      A,S, & E together      Generally dry and sunny in central & southern England.      50      1890-1950 (about 10 years)
 Year's lowest frequency of C type (10-12%) 24-26 January.     (5% level - probably significant)
 12 - 23 March      A,N & E together      Notable rainfall (precipitation?) minimum in central & southern England.      70      1890-1950 (about 10 years)
 12-14 March peak of AC.      35 (1% level - significant)
 12 - 18 May      N type      Annual maximum about these dates;
14-20 May is sunniest week of the year in Ireland.      30      1873-1961
 21 May -
10 June      A type      Annual maximum frequency, 40% or more on some days during most of this period; driest weeks of year in Scotland, Ireland: more year-to-year variations in southern half of England.      (5% level - probably significant)      1873-1961
 18 - 22 June      W, NW & A together      Generally dry and sunny in southern England: cloudy & wet in Scotland & Ireland.      70      1890-1950 (about 10 years)
W type frequency 52% on 20 June      (1% level - significant)
 31 July -
4 August      C type      Sharp peak (replaced by twin maxima around 20 July & mid-August).      35%+ (5% level - probably significant)      1873-1961 var.
 17 August -
2 September      W & NW together      Wet in most areas.      70      1890-1950 (about 10 years)
 C type      Peaks 19 and 28 August.      30 (5% level - probably significant)
 6 - 19 September      A,N & NW together      Dry, especially east and central England.      80      1873-1961
 C type frequency, >20% between 6-12 September.      (5% level - probably significant)
 5 - 7 October      A type      Slight check to seasonal cooling.      40 (5% level - probably significant)      1890-1950 (about 10 years)
 24 - 31 October      C, E & N types      Great decline to year's minimum frequency of A type (<10%) about 28th - 31st October.      (1% level - significant)
(5% level - probably significant)      1873-1961
 17 - 20 November      A type      Dry, foggy period in central and southern England.      30 (1% level - significant)      1873-1961
 3 - 11 December      W & NW together      Wet and stormy in most areas with 3 - 9 December generally wettest week of year on average.      70      1873-1961
 17 - 21 December      A type      Generally dry, foggy weather.      25      1873-1961

4. WHEN DO THE WARMEST DAYS OCCUR?

Although the longest day (maximum theoretical incoming solar radiation) occurs around 21st / 22nd June (the Summer Solstice), on average, the warmest days turn up about 4 or 5 weeks after this time, often occurring in early August.

> Using the mean 5-day temperature series for 1961-90 for three inland stations, the highest mean day maxima for Glasgow, Manchester and Heathrow fall in the period 23rd to 27th July.
In fact, with only 0.1degC or so difference, the period 13th July to 7th August is the 'high risk' period for the higher mean maximum temperatures.

This period also covers the warmest nights, which on average occur from 23rd July to 7th August.

The 'lag' beyond the date of the summer solstice is due to a combination of three effects:

1. The thermal inertia of the surfaces over which the air passes - particularly adjacent sea areas: the effect is not unlike the action of a 'night-storage' heater, offsetting the slightly weakening incoming solar radiation (slightly lower altitude of the sun / greater path-length through the atmosphere) and shorter day-lengths.
2. Warmer air can 'hold' a greater amount of water vapour (higher dew-points). In response to the lag (above), the warmest days will tend 'normally' to come after mid-June, and therefore the dew-points tend to be higher late June through to early September. The main effect of this is that night-time minima tend to be higher (water vapour acts as a 'blanket' absorbing / re-radiating outgoing earth-based radiation), so the 'day' starts off with higher temperatures, and given sufficient insolation, the day maxima will respond accordingly.
3. As 'High Summer' (July/August) is often associated with a weakened Polar Jet, cyclonic developments will be weaker, will find more difficulty in penetrating from the Atlantic, and the incidence of blocking is higher. Given the right circumstances, and the fact (from effects above), the land (and seas) will be warmer, this means that advection of warmed air from elsewhere, plus local stagnation of air-mass is much more likely.

>Using the series after JC Webb ('Weather' & 'Journal of Meteorology' - as updated) which lists the highest temperatures known by day (across the UK as a whole), the absolute high temperature of 38.1degC occurred on 10th August (2003) at Kew/Royal Botanic Gardens. [ Many stations across the southeast of England broke the old record (37.1, Cheltenham, 3rd August [1990]) on this day. In particular, 38.5degC was recorded at Faversham, Kent, but there are some doubts surrounding this figure.]
For Scotland only, the highest known/accepted temperature (32.9degC at Greycrook in the Scottish Borders) occurred on the 9th August (2003).

> Using the CET daily series, the period with the highest mean temperature runs from the 2nd week of July to the 2nd week of August. (roughly 10th July to 15th August). Inspecting the graph showing the progress of the mean daily CET record (1961-90), the peak occurs in late July, though with secondary, but slightly lower peaks, 2nd week of July & 2nd week of August.

> For several 'primary' synoptic-reporting stations around the UK, the values and dates of highest maxima are as below (but not updated due to station closure etc.):
GLASGOW: 4th August, 1975 31.2degC (Abbotsinch .. now closed)
MANCHESTER: 2nd August, 1990 33.7degC (Ringway .. now closed)
BIRMINGHAM: 3rd August, 1990 34.9degC (Elmdon .. now closed)
LONDON: 10th August, 2003 37.9degC (Heathrow)
CARDIFF: 3rd August, 1990 33.5degC (Rhoose .. now closed)

> The average maxima around the 'peak' period as noted above are circa 1.0degC higher than those around the 'longest' day.

5. WHEN DO THE COLDEST DAYS/PERIODS OCCUR?

> For the whole of the UK, using the series after JC Webb (JMet), the lowest absolute values in that series are:
(minus) 27.2degC, which occurred on the 30th December, 1995 at Altnaharra (Highland) and on 10th January, 1982 at Braemar (Grampian).

> > Using the mean daily Central England Temperature (CET) series [ 1961-1990 ], the curve dips to a first winter 'minimum' around the end of December or within the first few days of January, i.e. the 'turn' of the year. There is then a 'false' recovery in mean temperature, before the series minimum is reached in mid-February. In both cases of course, these minima occur after the point of shortest daylength - in the case of the lowest (mean) temperature, a good 7 weeks after this date. The main reason for this marked 'lag' is again a function of the fact that sea temperatures in particular do not reach their lowest values around our islands until well into February or even early March. There are other factors though, such as a greater tendency to northerly or easterly types as the winter progresses and the increasing likelihood of anticyclonic 'blocks' allowing night radiation to become fully effective.


These were prepared by someone in uk.sci weather you might wish to thank him and Martin Rowley the first compiler of the FAQs there.Licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-Share Alike 2.5 UK: Scotland License.
http://weatherfaqs.org.uk/node/113

That more than enough for a blog post. I will do another one when the High fades and my brain catches up to my British disposition of natural born Celtic Depression. I might try to sort out the formatting too. Why do people use columns when the return-bar makes it all so easy?

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Contra-rotation


I'm pretty sure I first wrote about contra rotation a few moths back when I posted ideas about the motions of the solar system.
I really should lean how to use Celestia, the model I am using is cumbersome.






Heavy going I don't believe a desk-top helps either



Thought

When you tune out your relaxed brain can completely encompass random thoughts, come to your senses and they are gone, like dreams. Sometimes you don't want those thoughts. You can't help thinking and that is when the spirit of this world will intrude. Intrude on you thoughts, you're unconscious, what do you expect when you are unconscious?

You don't have to think those thought, once they call attention to themselves. You are strong enough to cope with them once you are alert to them.
Sometimes you want to think such all encompassing thought. Such is the gift of god where it says your sons will see visions and your daughters dream dreams. Actually it says it twice; a repetition for emphasis or a witness to the fact god said it?
Joel 2 and Acts 2, hearing is believing.

The problem with thoughts is: Try too hard to catch them and they elude you. It is the same with tinnitus and etcetera. Days like that you don't want drugs, at least that is my opinion and anyway you take drugs to enhance effects, so what are you going to take to turn them off if they sour on you?

You have to find that space occupied by your genius. The good one, unless you are a fool. Saying that; I woke to the sound of a ringing just on the edge of hearing but I wanted to listen to music when I got up so that's what I am doing now. I should be looking for the next eruption. Anyway it wasn't a dark morning so I didn't give chase.

I can hear steam boiling a long way away now, the ringing has stopped -
I can hear steam boiling a long way away now the ringing has stopped. I wonder what I missed, I suppose we will see soon enough:

Sounds like I can hear Indonesia from my house. I hope that is not the CIA getting some sort of revenge, do I really think they can do that?
I don't want to believe it but Sima sits on Magnesium not aluminium, who knows what shit happens when the stone is not cut by men's hands. (We are getting all the two's today.)

My shoulder stopped aching about the time I got up, there is no lying abed when the ground is pissing on your fireworks. And I needed the bicarb.
Damn I missed this yesterday sorry Indonesia:


Pissed on your bonfire, still going on  few hour ago, I no doubt. That storm in the middle of December will be ablaze, cold winters beckon.
Get into the habit of thinking inside your head if you can. It's not easy -any movement will distract you but it might be rewarding.
What do you think?


What do you make of these?
I don't know where my tweets are disappearing to. Maybe the same thing is happening that I couldn't sign in to the computers at the local library with yesterday?


Tuesday, November 28, 2017

If I was god

If I was god I would arrange things so that I only had to utter the word and a milion extremely competent engineers from every branch of science would run to do my bidding.

For instance I would arrange the next sequence of events to apply on the planet earth to run this way:


The series of relatively small earthquakes that set to operand for the global currents to initiate things over the West Indian Antarctic Ridge so that the next in the swarm at the Loyalty Islands would divert the medium sized quake to 6.0 25km SE of Taron, Papua New Guinea thus ensuring the spread of events would be somewhere on the other side of operations.

Not that all activity needs to cease in Indonesia but it would be nicer for thos having to deal with miracles to get the needed breaks in time to make sense of what is happening and why. (Not that there is anything unnatural in these events.)

And I would then set in motion the sieche that is to remove the excess heat generated into the smaller outlet north of Alaska, where it can cope with the building of the renewed ice shelves in the
Arctic. Does that sound like a proposition for everyone to agree on?

You see the nice point for labour relations I just made there?

Ask and you shall receive a delighted response. I am sure if I was an angel I would feel pleased if someone like god bothered to consult with me. Wouldn't you?

Anyway be that as it may, these things are occurring. So what conclusions can we draw from them?



Monday, November 27, 2017

MediaGoblin

Superficially media Goblin seems to offer everything that modern journalism needs:

Critical independence
Security from Take Downs and
Pirate Bay like freedom of thought

Unfortunately they have taken an extremist road that can not be accommodated by the mass of we the general public. To use it you have to be a supergeek and such things are rare among people who are busy doing other things.

What it sets out to be is a truly interactive set of tools that combines everything you ever wanted in a presentation device. However it has run out of road in seeking to appeal to everyman, instead not even appealing to this one.

I can't even find the download link.

I presume this is because I need to get hold of it with Mageia's terminal: Konsole (a super-fast utility designed to make uploading as well as downloading easy, something I have never understood how to do.)

What they need to do is get it out the door.

And to do that they need to concentrate on being able to offer it to a popular distribution. Once someone like ABCDEFG-LinuxDistro gets hold of it and polishes the creaks out of it for their own user systems it will fly but until then, we are hoping someone is going to polish a turd.

Today's alternative media is crying out for such a thing. Maybe the now defunct Opera could get hold of it, there is still a remnant of core Opera operators at the Vivaldi browser. And Konqueror is begging for it. So what is the delay all about?

Malaysia Airlines Flight 370

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V5QCmd6ArZk
https://youtu.be/V5QCmd6ArZk?t=881
https://youtu.be/V5QCmd6ArZk?t=2011

8 March 2014, Malaysia Airlines Flight 370

Could it have been dustified and if so, would the destruction have registered as an anomalous High?
The way that it disappeared seems to indicate it was trailed by a terror weapon that was equipped to beam it down. How much power can a jet airliner generate and how much would it need to?

> On 24 January a flock of various birds descended on a busy Texas road:
>
> "January 24, 2017: A massive flock of thousands of disoriented birds land on a busy interstate during rush hour traffic in Houston. Many birds landed on the roadside risking the cars opposed to what had them spooked that WAS IN THE SKY. Birds were even hitting cars windshields as you will see in the video."
>
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0g-KP4DhGS

http://www.thehutchisoneffect.com/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=29&Itemid=49

"In 1979 starting up an array of high-voltage equipment he felt something hit his shoulder. He threw the piece of metal back and it flew up and hit him again. The frequencies shielded gravity when his Tesla coils, electrostatic generator, and other equipment created a complex electromagnetic field.

Canada dubbed this phenomenon the Hutchison-Effect. In the years from 1979, members of the military-industrial-complex visited his lab, corresponded with him, or observed his work and his inventions. His work has been classified as a matter of National Security by the Canadian Security Intelligence Service.

Phenomena:
Holes appear in glass — and commonly a white outer layer of material forms. John has witnessed slow fusing/melting together of rubber and steel samples >>> and he has witnessed effects on aluminum blocks, which have turned to dust or......<<<

John has witnessed the tops of steel bars turn to dust and white powders as well as chrome plating being "blown off" other samples. At various times since 1980, John has witnessed anomalous effects of foaming water in some experiments. John has other samples of dissimilar materials, such as wood and metal, that have fused together during experiments."

I think the military you have been suspecting of killing you friends has been conducting secret tests using high frequencies possibly of both audio and electromagnetic spectra.

I suspect the sounds will be channelled along anticyclones I don't know what to suggest to combat this unless you can get them undercover or on the other side of a ridge maybe. 
This was a post to a strange fellow of the Uncle Billy of Bedford Falls type on sci.geo.earthquakes.

Would a clone be capable of downing an airliner?
There is no need to go to any lengths if all that was to be done was to  destroy a plane. Just blow it up................

Only it would come down with standard wreckage patterns where it would be better to have an Isis patsy to blame. But of course if there was no time or the Chinese might have been upset...

Who owned the lithium batteries, how much preparation would they have to make to get them in situ or was it a last minute load and why would they be taking them to China from Malaysia?
Were they needed to get a quick reaction?

Who was presumed to have been on board?
It wasn't Julian Assange as he was in a safe-house. When did Edward Snowden flee?

On June 21, 2013, the U.S. Department of Justice unsealed charges against Snowden of two counts of violating the Espionage Act of 1917 and theft of government property.[2] Two days later, he flew into Moscow's Sheremetyevo Airport, but Russian authorities noted that his U.S. passport had been cancelled and he was restricted to the airport terminal for over one month. Russia ultimately granted him right of asylum for one year, and repeated extensions have permitted him to stay at least until 2020.

Could the CIA have been that STOOOOOOOpid?
I like to think so but even if they were obeying a Clinton edict I can't see how they would have made the mistake.

Was it something to do  with Benghazi?

The only way we can guestimate it is if the weapon generated a heat spike that changed the flow of electrons in the outer atmosphere the way a volcano' debris does. And to do that it would have to have operated for some considerable time, which a period of flight does not appear to have offered.

How often do terrorists take down a 'plane?
Not as often as they might like to I am sure and do we know who were taken out by incidents like Lockerbie?
21 December 1988; 28 years ago
Richard Nixon President of the United States 1969 to August 9, 1974
Jimmy Carter President of the United States 1977-1981.
Ronald Reagan  President of the United States 1981 to January 1989.
Bill Clinton President of the United States 1993-2001.

Wikipedia runs on about the Reagan Era but in hindsight it was the Nixon era where the fall from grace of the American Empire began. No longer were we in the era of Mom and Pop, Happy Days and enormous Motown cars
In-flight breakup due to terrorist bombing

Lockerbie, Scotland
Matthew Gannon, the Central Intelligence Agency's deputy station chief in Beirut, Lebanon, was sitting in Clipper Class, Pan Am's version of business class,[29] seat 14J. Major Chuck "Tiny" McKee, a US Army officer returning from an assignment with the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) in Beirut, sat behind Gannon in the centre aisle, seat 15F. Two Diplomatic Security Service (DSS) special agents were also on board, acting as bodyguards to Gannon and McKee. They were sitting in economy: Ronald LaRiviere, security officer from the US Embassy in Beirut, in 20H; Daniel O'Connor, security officer from the US Embassy in Nicosia, Cyprus, was five rows behind LaRiviere in 25H, leaving both men seated over the right wing. The four men had flown together from Cyprus that morning.
But I don't hold out hope that a fake news rag like wickedpoedia will do any research and carry it. But who can cut short the hand of god?
We depend on donations averaging £10, but fewer than 1% of readers choose to give. If you donate just £2, you would help keep Wikipedia thriving for years to come.
So I sent them the minimum they asked for.
What would be the repercussions of the replacement spies sent to replace these dead men?
And would the dustified plane have been enough debris to produce a volcano-effect?
It was certainly high enough if it was still in the stratosphere when it disappeared all but the shredded people and the tailplane section that was ripped off before it could disintegrate. Did the CIA get to inspect the recovered part before anyone had a chance to think the unthinkable?
Would the dustification of the high potential metal electron-donators....
Oh shit..... have been used to destroy all the debris that might have made the drop?

The lithium was inserted into the hold to assist in the detonation as it turns into the energy required to catalyse the neutrons for a greater explosion. Such a device would have made a discoverable trace on the seismographs and any HAARP type equipment that whatever country having such arrays might be expected to have monitored, had they the psychological deficiencies required to suspect anything.

More questions than a decent citizen would consider asking.
http://www.cracked.com/funny-3304-haarp-conspiracy-theory/
Have fun they are a long time dead.

(As it happens the upper atmosphere doesn't need any help to heat it; once the water content drops or gets through it's natural barriers, the outer atmosphere heats until it produces ions enough to break all toxins allowing reduction or oxidation depending whatever is in need of defusing for us.

Thank god.)




Doom and Gloom

Admitedly I got this from a click-bait newsrag:

3200 Phaethon will brush Earth on December 17
It will pass 6.4 million miles (10.3m km),
Half the size of Chicxulub, it passes closer to the sun than any other named asteroid.

Is it true you have never wondered why all meteors arrive side-on insated of the more obvious perpendicular approach?

Consider the number of recent impacts on the moon for example. ALL NONE OF THEM.

Does that not tell you anything?

Sunday, November 26, 2017

The trouble with nothing

26 November 2017. First Quarter 17:03

https://watchers.news/
A strong phreatic eruption started at Mount Agung, Bali, Indonesia at 09:30 UTC (17:30 WIB) on Saturday, November 25, 2017. This is the second eruption of this volcano since Tuesday, November 21. Although significantly stronger, the Alert Level remains at second highest (III / standby) and the Aviation Color Code at Orange.
Today's eruption is more than twice as high as last Tuesday's. At 15:00 UTC, ash column was rising up to 6 km (20 000 feet) above sea level and drifting W/SW, according to the Darwin VAAC.

A destructive tornado ripped through a densely populated area of East Java province, Indonesia at 08:30 UTC (15:30 WIB) on Wednesday, November 22, 2017, injuring at least 35 people and damaging more than 600 homes. This is the third damaging tornado to hit the country within two weeks and comes after three waterspouts were spotted in waters off the Thousand Islands on October 23, a phenomenon rarely seen in the tropics. Yesterday's event brings the total number of homes damaged by tornadoes in Indonesia within 10 days close to 700. 
According to Dwidjo Prawito of Indonesia's disaster mitigation agency told Reuters that the tornado had wind speeds of more than 70 km/h (35 mph) and was on the ground for about 5 minutes, carving a path of destruction in Tambakrejo Village in the Sidoarja regency, south of the country's second-biggest city of Surabaya.
At least 35 people were injured and more than 600 homes damaged,

Following rare M5.4 earthquake on September 12, 2017, southeastern Republic of Korea was hit by another M5.4 on November 15, making these the two largest earthquakes to hit the country since Global CMT and USGS ANSS catalogs began recording in 1977. At least 58 aftershocks hit the region by late November 20. Because three nuclear reactors are located within 12 km (7 miles) from the Yangsan Fault, responsible for these quakes, experts suggest that further investigation by the national authorities would now be prudent.
The November 15th M5.4 quake struck 9.3 km (5.8 miles) WNW of the industrial city of Pohang (population 500 000) at 05:29 UTC at a depth of 10 km (6.2 miles). The USGS issued green alert for shaking-related fatalities and yellow for economic losses. The quake was felt across much of the country including in the capital Seoul.

Following a M4.6 earthquake that hit just NE of Gonzales, California on November 13, 2017, the USGS has registered more than 130 aftershocks within the 5 km (3.1 miles) of the epicenter. Although most of those aftershocks weren't felt by the Central Coast, the aftershock sequence is raising fears a large earthquake is about to strike the region.
This one has been a quite productive aftershock sequence, but only 17 were stronger than M2.5 and six were greater than 3.0,  USGS seismologist Ole Kaven said. "We suspect there will be aftershocks in the 2 to 3 magnitude range for at least a few more weeks, but smaller shakers could continue for even longer."
"Last Monday's quake occurred on a "creeping section" of the San Andreas Fault, so seismic activity in the area is normal," Kaven said.  "It's a reminder that we are living in earthquake country."

Heavy rain is wreaking havoc across Jeddah, Saudi Arabia on Tuesday, November 21, 2017, stranding drivers on flooded roads and delaying school classes at least until Thursday. 
The Centre for Crises and Disasters in Makkah Region closed a number of roads in Jeddah on Tuesday due to heavy thunderstorms accompanied by active winds that limited vision, Gulf News reported.
The National Centre for Security Operations at the Ministry of the Interior received 10 902 calls by "911" operations in Makkah from the beginning of the rain until noon on Tuesday. The center said that most of the calls were to inquire about the roads and streets that could be used for traffic and added that the Civil Defence dealt with 241 rescue cases.

Several flights were delayed this morning, Saudi Airlines said. Passengers were told to contact airline companies for more information.
The education district in Jeddah and Makkah shut down schools and colleges ahead of the storm, saying they won't reopen at least until Thursday, November 23.
The Directorate of Civil Defense warned residents to strictly avoid going down to the valley or approaching floodwaters. "Move away from places that are usually flooded and avoid going near wadis and riverbanks."

A new strong explosion occurred at Mexico's Popocatepetl volcano at about 04:52 UTC on Saturday, November 25, 2017 (22:52 local time, November 24). The event follows two strong explosions at 23:12 and 23:54 UTC on Friday and the strongest eruption at this volcano since 2013 at 20:13 UTC (14:13 local time) on Thursday.
Mexico's National Center for Disaster Prevention (CENAPRED) said the 04:52 UTC explosion ejected incandescent material that was deposited up to 1 km (0.62 miles) from the edge of the crater. The eruption produced a column of ash that exceeded a height of 2.5 km (8 200 feet) above the crater and drifted to the SSE. The volcanic alert level remains at Yellow.
The eruptive column reached a height of 8.5 km (28 000 feet) by 05:52 UTC, the Washingon VAAC said 06:40 UTC. "Imagery shows the new emission of volcanic ash is moving SSE at 18 - 28 km/h (11 - 17 mph)," the center said.
Ashfall was reported in the municipalities of Tianguismalanco, Atzizhuacan, and Huaquechula

OK, it happened I got it right. What were you expecting?
Argue about it as you will I don't concern me with sorrow. There is no time, another is on the way so get ready. A quick run through and I'm away:

First of all, the title is based on the creation of a phenomena out of nothing. What the eye doesn't see the MetOffice doesn't grieve for.

I already explained what happened.
And below you can see how the Lows suck hard on the next anticyclone they get their gums into:

And here is what I think happens:

Talk about flash.

 

And here is what it is likely to do next:


It starts out with nothing and it ends with nothing but in between it holds news of the next swarms. Here's the deal:


The anticyclones are doing their best to block it but the lows eventually eat their way though and make a queen bee. Then things start BUZZING.
And by the way, see if you noticed a delta up at the top of the page:


A great river of air up in the Davies Straight. Damn the tornadoes, full speed ahead. Lets get this show on the rows. Creation hasn't stopped working cause that's what creators do.

Take a look at the biggest doughnut: http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-precip&tz=UTC&area=SH&model=G&chartSubmit=Refresh+View

What do you suppose a ring this size looks like from Jupiter as all the trapped anticyclones eat their way out?
That's it for now maybe some more when I think of it. Try and call the mountain out?
Maybe Bogoslof. If I keep saying that, I have to get it right eventually, right?









Saturday, November 25, 2017

Wheels within wheels

Alright children let's see who has been paying attention.
What does this mean?


Date time latitude longitude mag Location
2017-11-25 17:30 -20.6 172.5 5.8mww 204km NNE of Ile Hunter, New Caledonia
2017-11-23 18:02 27.1 130.3 5.5mww 161km SSE of Naze, Japan
2017-11-20 18:51 -14.6 -175.0 6.0mww 194km SE of Mata-Utu, Wallis and Futuna
2017-11-20 00:09 -21.4 168.8 6.0mww 97km E of Tadine, New Caledonia
2017-11-19 22:43 -21.3 168.6 7.0mww 86km ENE of Tadine, New Caledonia
2017-11-19 16:08 -21.2 168.5 5.9mww 74km ENE of Tadine, New Caledonia
2017-11-19 15:09 -21.5 168.5 6.6mww 68km E of Tadine, New Caledonia
2017-11-19 09:25 -21.5 168.6 6.4mww 74km E of Tadine, New Caledonia

Back in time there was a biblical prophet whose name was Ezekiel and he was give a vision of some of the technicalities of the works of god. How he described them has come to mean in today's jargon: "wheels within wheels" which meant that god could have explained in detail to him but that he was not going to, except that in wonderful ways he is working out his purposes for all of creation all the time. And that whilst he is being shown all things "in a nut-shell" there is no need for us to bother with details.

And so it is today, I have explained in the past my reasoning on what I am telling you but you will just have to wait for the sign that I know what I am talking about as far as the following:

If you want to know just look at what I have said about the Beaufort Scale and the energy values of magnitude 5.5 earthquakes. Of course that is depending on how much of what I say you are willing to believe so far.

A rather large eruption is about to take place. I am hoping that I will pick up some sign of where it will occur but that is because I heard a short ping and my shoulder was hurting at the time. At the moment it is not too bad but it had been aching a few hours ago. So I might have more news.

There is another scripture concerning the end times, that is the end of the last day of creation, where god rested. We don't know how long the period covered in the story of creation was to be but using the various codes the bible offers we can assume that a day is still a thousand years and that by now we are in the thick of it.

The eruption coming is not going to be as spectacular as Pinatubo nor even Mt St Helens but it will make the front pages of fake news. (That is leaving aside any further news of development in Trump's Drive. I believe the less spotted papers will still carry it if so.)

The six quakes that occurred on the 19th and 20th had a period of  a few hours between them. Counting them as a swarm, the seiche development is quite spectacular seeing the magnitude overall and the likelihood of the seiche is that it will have a period of some 3 and 2 days covering a spread of some 45+ degrees:
Wallis and Futuna to Japan and back to New Caledonia, in the process crossing the boundaries that imply rotation.

A period of 2 and 3 days takes us outside the envelope of the extended Beaufort scale and into the realms of magma chambers, allowing us to guess the locations of a tropical storm as well as the eruptions which will be in Japan.

I got that one wrong, I had assumed the region was going to be the north-east side of the Fijian triangle but I should not have stated more than that. The world's quakes oscillate over the Pacific Mascon (called the ring of fire by people who should know better, why not look up what a mascon is and learn better than them?

Conspiracy theorist please note:
"
Mount Agung’s last major eruption was in 1963. It lasted for more than a year and is considered one of the world's largest eruptions of the 20th century. Nearly 1 600 people were killed."

One wonders how the Russians fared in the blizzards of '63'. I am pretty sure the democratically elected officials would be doing a British Government styled stiff upper lip on that on that. This is how Uncle Sam responded to the aftermath of WW2:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xr7q4GPTG4M

High volcanic gas emission and Crater Lake temperature at Mount Ruapehu, New Zealand
An increase in volcanic gas emissions and sustained high lake temperature (Te Wai Ā-Moe) suggest a slightly higher level of activity at New Zealand's Mount Ruapehu, GeoNet reports. The Volcanic Alert Level remains at 1 and the Aviation Color Code at Green. The...


High volcanic gas emission and Crater Lake temperature at Mount Ruapehu, New Zealand An increase in volcanic gas emissions and sustained high lake temperature (Te Wai Ā-Moe) suggest a slightly higher level of activity at New Zealand's Mount Ruapehu, GeoNet reports. The Volcanic Alert Level remains at 1 and the Aviation Color Code at Green. The...

New strong explosions at Popocatepetl, ash to 8.5 km (28 000 feet) a.s.l.A new strong explosion occurred at Mexico's Popocatepetl volcano at about 04:52 UTC on Saturday, November 25, 2017 (22:52 local time, November 24). The event follows two strong explosions at 23:12 and 23:54 UTC on Friday and the strongest eruption at this...(I'm still filling in the gaps with my tinnitus and finding I have a lot to learn.)

A strong phreatic eruption started at Mount Agung, Bali, Indonesia at 09:30 UTC (17:30 WIB) on Saturday, November 25, 2017. This is the second eruption of this volcano since Tuesday, November 21. Although significantly stronger, the Alert Level remains at second...

https://watchers.news/2017/11/25/

This site seems to be offering a viable replacement for the now defunct Smithsonian archives. I an not sure is is javascript proof like the previous Smithsonian iteration that was closely modelled on Volcano Listserv

It remains a pain in the arse to grab data from though. Not as bad as Volcano News and orders of magnitude better than the Smithsonian now is.
There is a lot going on in these charts:


The first one is vague but even so tells something.


There are possibly three  in a lines running south and  four across the page


It is hard to make out if anything is signalled by the very small stuff but the size of the Lows on here must mean more.

There is a meteorological term called "pointing". It means an over-extended system. But this stuff is pointing at something:






What was the name of that flight over the Indian Ocean that was dustified and they only found a tail-wing?


Don't mind me, I am just being silly. Who would do a thing like that...
...Oh, now I remember....


I wonder if anyone there can be relied on to recreated these charts for that date?
I probably have them but I could be disappeared with nobody noticing.


Come to that we could reproduce all the nuclear test's after effects, if we were not bothered about official secrets. Yet another reason not to give me a million dollars I assume. Stuff their Millennial Prize, I prefer to hold the veto on the one for smoothness.


Anyway, it's not that smooth.

Snow

Snow or as in today's treat, sleet, is a phenomenon that is closely related to volcanic eruptions. How could it fail to be so, as the conditions provided are so similar?
The difference between sleet and snow being that there is enough of a temperature gradient to provide a slight breeze for sleet.
On the subject of eruptions we find that Bogoslof starts a new bout of eruptions this spell.

But that I want to talk about is how now is created. I am guessing the exactitude but the logic of the physics is a simple "must". There is no other way for it is there?
1, The same overcast with perhaps an inclination to show lenticular clouds something else shared with the stuff that relates to tornadoes. Am I going to fast for you I can write a lot more slowly?

2, No or little crosswind.

And 3, a drop in temperature. Snow must be linked to earthquakes too as the change in the weather is related to warm fronts. The larger the warm spell the larger the 'quake.

4, give me time to think of 4 and I will come back to you.

So how do you grow snow?

Friday, November 24, 2017

Moron the Greenland High

From a Linux thread

On Friday, 24 November 2017 06:35:15 UTC, Daniel60  wrote:
> On 24/11/2017 6:18 AM, Michael McNeil wrote:
> > On Thursday, 23 November 2017 12:20:26 UTC, Daniel60  wrote:
> >> On 23/11/2017 7:39 PM, Michael McNeil wrote:
> >>> If we run into severe radio interference over the next few days is it possible to work out what software falls down most often?
> >>>
> >>> That is, would anyone be reporting on the types of complaints monitored?
> >>>
> >> Why might we be expecting severe radio interference over the next couple
> >> of days?? Sunspot maximum or some such??
> >>
> >> Daniel
> >
> > Because the Greenland High always produces it. Always.
> > They come with volcanic eruptions as you can tell by the devolution of weather fronts; a depression that is filled with anticyclonic air breaks down in the North Atlantic sending the warm fronts north and the cold fronts east, following a volcanic eruption and producing the large number of polar points that arrive with the High.
> >
> > They can be forecast from the dissolution of the anticyclone into a col or a multiple complex Low. As the points separate, the diameter opens wider and the fronts leave.
> >
> > You can call it lizards breeding chem-trails or angels dancing if you like but it is undeniably happening:
> > https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/surface-pressure/#?tab=surfacePressureColour&fcTime=1511308800
> >
> > If the diameter is large enough the skies clear and we can see mares tails forming, a sure sign of imminent hurricanes or typhoons of greater than category 3.
> >
> > HTH.
> >
> > If you are still with me, you can see for yourself the record that matches large eruptions with solar winds, I dare say you already know where to look, do you?
> >
> I'll just go and get the stepladder, Michael, as that was all waaayyyy
> over my head!! ;-P
>
> Daniel

I think you will understand scientific stuff a lot more readily if you reject what you can not understand initially, until you have accommodated what you do understand, -maintaining that it is not you that is thick so much as they that might be wrong.

Consider:
One of my earliest postings dealt with `blocking highs`, which I tied in with cold waves over Europe. Wherever they form over polar belts in the cold months, blocking highs are wont to make for anomalous patterns of temperature, be it above or below what is `normal` for the area in question.
I am guessing that he has already lost the reader to Coronation Street
A blocking high is marked by relatively high pressure through a deep layer of the atmosphere. In the Northern Hemisphere, steering winds tend to wheel about such a high in a clockwise sense about a broad core having weak wind flow.
And they only came in here for this.
Such highs can spread for 2000 or more miles (3000 or more km) in all directions. Where such a high is found instead of the usual westerlies aloft (the jet stream), the west-to-east progression of lows (wave cyclones) and cold fronts is disrupted. [Hang on, wait... how did it get there.] Indeed, it may be shunted far to the north by the block, which would likely pump warm air towards the Pole; or shifted southwards, which can lead to stronger, wetter lows/fronts than accustomed in the mid latitudes.
If I were you I'd be lost by now. His problem is that he doesn't know what he is talking about. No offence meant, none of them do. That is what little they understand about anomalies.
Think!
Your not thick so how did the cold air get up in to the top of the sky in order to fall down; especially with at that there global warming that they are all convinced is happening?
Such a blocking high will likely set up shop over the northern Atlantic basin including Greenland and Iceland at the latter half of this week. [I just noticed this:] The western limb of the high will drive anomalous warmth northwards and westwards over Greenland to the Baffin Bay. [Guess why?] At week`s end, even Baffin Island itself will likely warm anomalously.
I bet you understood that last paragraph - proving you are not particularly dense. It is just that they are fake science. But they are honest people and should not be derided.

Now, when a blocking high is parked east of northern North America, the usual dumping ground for Arctic air offloading the continent, whatever Arctic air is present must go somewhere else.
[Why?
Why can't it just mix?]
Invariably, that `somewhere else` is to follow a more southerly path that takes in eastern Canada and at least some of the United States. Well, this is precisely what is being forecast by a consensus of computer models for the end of this week and the first half (at least) of the next.
[And how the hell does it go somewhere else?
FedEx?]
Canada`s `storehouse of cold` is not fully stocked right now (northern Quebec and most of Nunavut have the truly cold stuff). However, the Arctic Ocean basin off north-western North America and north-eastern Asia is shown to grow steadily colder for the next few days with north-westerly wind flow set to pour some of this Arctic cold into the heart of Canada.
From here, it will be free to take the `straight shot` over the line to the eastern two-thirds of the United States. [What have you learned so far?] From here, the cold will take the path of least resistance in an attempt to re-join the west-to-east trend of the jet stream: out to sea from the Eastern Seaboard.

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-blogs/andrews/what-is-a-green/2093

Am I to be castigated for a different view point?
From Wikipedia's effort:
The sea-level pressure (atmospheric pressure) rarely, if ever, exceeds 1055.0 millibars (1055.0 hectopascals)(hPa)(SI).

 1050's are very rare hence I was prompted to make a post to Linux groups, expecting a lot of interference with people's connections.
Am I right?

So why do they decline, or to put it another way why are Lows so much more powerful than Highs?
Isn't it counter-intuitive?


Stranger still the Lows are divided, when these polar points appear they dot the charts with twice as many Low and High centres. What is going on?
There must be a rational explanation and it must fit easily into regular physics that anyone can understand.

When I first started posting to newsgroups I was still struggling to make sense with it all. Stupidly, I expected to learn from my superiors. It wasn't long before I was ignorantly losing my temper.
I imagine all first-year students doing physics are weeded out from Weather courses in the same way I might have been, had I an education worth a damn, fortunately I had something akin to dyslexia instead.
Working your way through problems, half blinded by what you are learning, all your jumbled thoughts pour out un-straightened. Reading them is like climbing barbed wire. And it didn't help that I cultivated an English "side" just to get even for the adhominem attacks. A tip: If you like your revenge cold:
Take the time to look up big words and always double check your spelling and grammar.
 There is a storm out in the Atlantic. The skies are grey and not warm. Roaring surf, breaking ashore with more white horses being born. I can feel the west wind blowing. The horizon is smeared away. No boats out tonight. But a few souls alone.

I can see these things happen from a foreign shore, I can remember winter nights like this that I will see no more.
I can hear the pebbles rattle, with every wave they change; one storm takes them such a way, the next they’re back again. I can see the sand, like blizzards and sometimes even foam blowing in the evening light, making the air groan.
I remember my eyes smarting and the sea shore smell of life. The sea holly and the litter; the tawdry businesses on the beach shut up for the night. The land birds gone inshore, the sea birds, who knows where?

Even the perverts huddled in their tight empty shells have found another toilet
What dead fish!