Singularities

With increases of orders of magnitude probability moves toward certainty This is the only useful result of using statistics in Meteorology. They point out to the interested a phenomenon called anomalies.

For the amateur second guessing god only presents a challenge if he makes public forecasts. An amateur only has himself to blame for failure and generally nobody gets hurt. I do my best because I like being right and it never gets tiring.

The development at 140 degrees East at 901millibars does not appear unusual.

And to be fair it is not that unusual these days. It is likely to become a dangerous situation as it moves eastwards, as it is likely to be assimilated into an anticyclone in North America. The phenomenon is then likely to grow significantly and all creatures are at risk.

What is even more interesting are the associated phenomena that appear with such events. They can develop into behemoths as with leviathans such things can fail to follow through for reasons that are not immediately obvious (to most at least.) A degree of difficulty with the sequence and consequences is the delay due to the sizes involved.

How does one prove that a relatively small Low in the middle of the Pacific is a part of  the situation that follows some week or more later?

How integral it is can only be explained when it occurs every time. Amd it is generally best to just ignore arguments about coincdenta They tend to be as useful as fame news broadcasts.

I am reminded of the consequences for the musician Bob Dylan when he introduced electric guitars to his own folk music. Traditionalists became irrational in the same mode as the imbecile socialists in that ridiculous college "Evergreen" but it takes all sorts.

What can happen if conditions favour tornadic weather  is that a river of air is trapped in Tornado Alley is volcanic eruptions and solar flares but of course there is a string of possibilities that tend to develop instead. All of which have rational explanations. None the less such considerable numbers of these anomalies are archived with enough documentation to allow confirmation of all the permutations.

Take for example the fallacy that the Arctic ice cover is shrinking due to carbondioxide levels. What is actually happening is that storms (which are rare in the Arctic) are piling the ice into smaller areas giving the credulous the impression of shrinkage and allowing the foolish to say the foolish.

It is easy to see the events taking place if you have the patience to look at facts. But Global warmists are not particularly reasonable any more than they are sensible.

It is not worth bothering them.