Shiveluch

The mountain erupted quite violently on the 27 June 2017
I was wondering what the charts would look like for the 9th of July when I saw the cold fronts on the Met Office charts today:

I looks quite busy on the 9th. So I wondered if i could find a forecast going out th that far. I hadn't been impressed with the US offerings in the past they seemed like something out of another century.

Their Analysis stuff was top notch but somehow the powers that be were reinforcing the headquarters instead of preparing to take Kasserine. Someone has been promoted since then, I think, for the forecasts go through to 5 days now and the graphics are worth bothering with:

To cap it, the analysis are presented going back nine days. This gives an insight to was is going to occur with the next one. I doubt it will be as massive as on the 27th but the high tide is on the 9th through to the 12th.

These are the NOAA charts for the 26th to 29th of June 2017:

 The cold fronts (blue lines with triangles pointing the way) are more or less parallel and equidistant.

 These are a wave. When they hit a continetal shelf the frequency changes and the system fails.

 It seems that a set of parallel front has much the same meaning as the set up for earthquake fronts, except that parallel warm fronts ar signalling swarms and these indicate Shiveluch erupting.

These are the MetOffice charts for Shiveluch:

29th being the aftermath.