James O. Berkland vindicated

James O. Berkland vindicated?

Too early to say yet but I just posted this stuff about the recent eruption in shiveluch:

sci.geo.earthquakes:

There is another tropical storm along the coast of Mexico in a week:

http://mkwc2.ifa.hawaii.edu/models/modelsanim.cgi?model=gfs&domain=npac&param=winds&orient=horiz&level=sfc&modeltime=2017070206&gfsanimduration=180&banner=mkwc&imgsize=med&animtype=flash

Look at the 9th. I dare say Mercury will be approaching earth by about then.
Not!

It lines up with Venus through Sun, the reason for the prolonged volcanic spell was an alignment with Neptune. I dare say such outer planet alignments count for little in comparison to close proximity ones.

The reason for that, I assume is, a lot of the attraction for Neptune is diluted through the rest of the solar system. Maybe it should be called inept-tune.

The 26th to the 9th is 13 days. What tide is that?

It changes on the 10th and the highest lowest Spring tides are on the 11th and 12th. So that would explain the tidal predictions of that Californian who died recently.

https://groups.google.com/forum/?hl=en-GB#!topic/sci.geo.earthquakes/y6QuJbduIHg

From Volcano Discovery:

Strong explosive eruption at Shiveluch volcano yesterday (image: KVERT webcam)

The activity at the volcano remains elevated. Another very large explosion occurred yesterday morning at 10:14 local time (01:14 UTC) and generated an ash plume that rose to approx. 40,000 ft (12 km) altitude and drifted NE.

• More about Shiveluch volcano

National Geographic did an article on James O. "Jim" Berkland was a California geologist. July 31, 1930 – July 22, 2016.

Can the Moon Cause Earthquakes?

James O. Berkland is a Glen Ellen, California-based geologist and editor of Syzygy—An Earthquake Newsletter. He believes the gravitational tugs of the moon, sun, and other planets can influence earthquake activity. Berkland said he has accurately predicted tremors based on factors such as syzygy. "Syzygy" refers to the alignment of three celestial objects. Syzygy of the sun, Earth, and moon occur twice a month, at the full and new moons. At such times, gravitational forces are at a maximum, especially when the bodies are close together

That is not quite the way it works. The moon was designed by our creator to act as a shim, a very carefully engineered buffer between us, the sun and the rest of the planets but it worked out that the old man was right.

And two weeks later it looks like a repeat performance only not with Mars and Mercury. 

This time it is Venus and Mercury:

You can fiddle with the hours (on the website linked) to get a straighter line but it is not the alignment that matters it is the shift in the field. You get a better picture of what I mean from an animation:

The thread is in error I am posting unedited, it so that you can see my thought progress up to the time of this correction. I had made the same mistake that Jim Berkland made. The mass of Venus is entirely engulfed by that of the sun. Venus never even enters the equation.

Jupiter is the one that affects Mercury. At the end of the month the inner planet gets a kickback that more than likely explains Einstein's theory. (Except that nobody included volcanic eruptions in the equation. Well Newton did but by default.)
The rest of the field forces acting upon the planet can be guessed at from a tide table. Bear in mind that the actual maths for the celestial mechanics as not yet been worked out for tides, despite the accurate predictions on sites like the following: http://www.ntslf.org/tides/tidepred

anyTideApp

anyTide UK is a mobile app for tidal height and current predictions created by the National Oceanography Centre. The App provides tidal predictions around the North Western European Shelf, with particular focus on the British Isles. It is available for both Android and Apple mobile devices.

There are three types of tidal predictions in the App.

• Height predictions based on data from tide gauges located at sites around the British Isles
• Height predictions based on computer models developed at NOC, Liverpool. This simulates the coastline on 1.8-km intervals and allows tidal predictions at any grid point around the coastline (and in major estuaries).
• Current predictions based on computer models developed at NOC, Liverpool, enabling tidal current predictions at any grid box in the surrounding shallow seas.

 mobile-apps@noc.ac.uk

But this time you need to look at the end of the month. What is a month between friends like us?
Besides 30 days. And well worth the wait, I predict.)