Contra rotation

(Just look up: Hawaii GFS.)

In the original series from the Hawaii meteorology department of wherever, you can move through the series one chart at a time. What happens next reminds me of a scene from Gifted

A prodigy being raised as a normal child has mathematical abilities that come to the attention of her grand-mother in a fairy tale separation story whose foil is the Navier/Stokes problem.

The solution is shown in the animation as the fluids involved go~critical. The cyclone off Japan is elongating into what is called a trough. the cause of these complications is ignored by current physics for reasons that are not clear to me.

Normally when a tropical storm develops a twin core the paths of the eyes diverge. This one is on the verge of the subtropics where the outer wall of the storm is being held together by some strange attractor. Possibly the increased temperature range between the source of the storm and cooler northern waters.

Obviously much more than that is going on here and I hate to impose a theory that might stick as I always have difficulties working out the next step when I am wrong. Just because you impose a solution it doesn't follow that the cyclone will follow it. It may be holding a grudge.

So what can we see?

Three equally spaced cyclones only two of which have developed eyes.

By Monday morning there is only one with a cored eye. It has remained static while the other one of the pair has rotated to the north west by 45 degrees to the central core and disappears in a splash by Tuesday the 25th July 2017.

On Wednesday the westernmost storm recharges and begins to develop an eye. The pair move in tandem as if attached by a connecting rod.

By Friday the 28th July the missing cyclone rebuilds at its original position relative to the other two.

By Saturday, the central storm starts bleeding out as the elongation extends to the east.

By the 1st of August the system has gone critical, actually the engine driving things has come apart on the 31st July.

The whole system comes apart as the constituents go their separate ways at this time it is likely that a large eruption has taken place some 80 degrees from the action.


Actually earthquake swarms are more likely but this whole system has been an hey! ride. Earthquakes arrive with the demise of storms but these have been demising all week long. Notice they are still keeping in line with the  ones on the East Pacific.

That is the story so far. The model is only run to 384 hours but that is way further than contemporary meteorology likes to go because of incremental failures in the system (such as volcanoes and earthquakes.)

I think the meteorological charts are a service to astronomers who have to fit classes in with observations. Even so, 16 days is incredible. Wait until we learn how the solar system operates though:

 7.7M.198km ESE of Nikol'skoye, Russia 2017-07-17 at 23:34 (UTC)

Earth is lined up with Mars through Sol but Jupiter is lined up through to Uranus with Earth/Mars in the fulcrum.

As the line falls apart we will be getting plenty of spin out of it.

Especially by the 31st, with Mercury in retrograde motion.

Or is Mercury there to act like a shim. How un/believable is that?

Chart for the 17th July 2017:

Corrections usually indicate the polarity of rotation an air mass develops. At this distance it inevitably means a wind storm not considered earlier. The forecast isa for Noon at 72 hour distance. with a warm front spiral in a Low 9976 mb approaching Britian with a cold front over the coast of Europe both signals of volcanic eruptions.)

The next day the warm fronts are trapped at the gates of the North Sea they will be heading for the Arctic where a storm will reduce apparent ice cover because of deepening.

Storms in the middle of the Arctic do not increase the temperatures of the sea they merely pile the ice higher exposing more of the surface to the open air. I believe that this is the way polar ice sheets develop in the Arctic.

I may be wrong. But I am not wrong in saying that a large erupion is taking place in a few days. But where?

Redesign and more spin.

I managed to find the thing that changes the background but I am stuck with the menu for previous posts being white on black. But it either this or clean my house and arrange for a new electricity supplier.

Besides now my fingers are aching maybe I should get as much done as possible while I still can. I vaguely remember some years ago when changing colours and themes was a lot more simple.

How come I can write in black on white and have to have a black background when I post?

Who thought that is a good idea?
I am looking at a bottle of colchicine and trying to decide if I have cramps or just slept on bent fingers. Imagine living in an era that has a pill for all seasons.

Caution

Yawning all the time is a sure sign you are going to suffer with cramps. Beware what you are eating, and how fresh it is. If you feel like stretching you legs when you yawn better remember to keep your toes pointing upwards.

Damn it, I need a pill. I think that means earthquakes.

Ah that reminds me what I was going to say yesterday:

Why are warm core cyclones  so small and cold core cyclones so big?
Obviously that is the wrong question.

OK, why do small cyclones produce large earthquakes and large cyclones produce swarms of small tremors; do cold core cyclones produce earthquakes?

I don't know but it sounds like a good question.

Warm core cyclones produce a lot of calm wind. This despite winds of up to 30 Kph converging on them several days prior to their formation.

I believe this has something to do with the salt fallout warm cored storms produce. Whether it is a calming effect or a redirection I can't tell but you can see a blue triangle of calm pervades the tracks leading away from them.

Notice how these things never seem to collide, why is that?

I recall one or two starting out on the same track, more or less from the same point (bearing in mind that a huge amount of convergence takes place before a tropical storm is declared and more again before one is named.)

So why do cold core cyclone converge and why do they prefer the South Pole?

Large air-streams do occur in the Arctic and even larger ones develop in the North Pacific and North Atlantic. But the Southern Ocean is one big system most of the time, in contrast to Arctic waters, where few storms develop and most of the powerful ones seem to cling to the coasts of America and Eurasia.

Most large systems entering the Arctic divide and spread out to the river systems  along the coast where they go inland.

So what makes these things line up?
There are several line-ups here:

But I have no idea how their resultants operate such maths in beyond me except that:

In aerial dynamics the storms go north. Imagine it as a trunk route diagramme. These things are not set up to show circular patterns they are circulation graphs.
Imagine the growth to the bottom of the picture is the direction of Southern Hemisphere storms. In the Northern Hemisphere the major arteries go North East. So "4" is a major storm system in te North Pacific or North Atlantic. The feeder cells are the incidental convergences on the way from the tropics to the poles.

In this case we are looking at the tropical and subtropical Pacific:
All the storms "1" (ignoring the two incidental ones half way down -but you know that!) are the cyclones shown above.

The cold core cyclones are following a stream that is a few degrees Centigrade above the surrounding current (about 3 IIRC.)

Three degrees centigrade does not sound much but nothing in the Arctic or Antarctic oceans ever gets much warmer than 2 degrees Centigrade. So a relatively minor increase is enough to control the majestic powers god has set in motion there.

There is no other explanation for why it can't ever go out of control. But we are still here as living proof that it never does and that applies all the more so if you don't believe in god: You have the fundamental idea the we have been alive for millions of years, yet you don't believe in miracles?

You can only not believe in miracles if you change your mind all the time. Good job for you it takes a lot to make god change his mind.

Warm core cyclones reach temperatures of 29 degrees centigrade before they achieve circulation. How does Coriolis find out, if god didn't wire an alarm into his house?
Or is the plumber a bigger monkey?
(Yes I know all plumbers look like monkeys, so what?
All us carpenters look like saints l-OOKs mean nothing unless you are a plumber.)

It is more likely that the fake news only informs us of seemingly enormous temperature peaks. Would it surprise you to learn that daily Venezuelan temperatures are in the mid 30's; as I presume, they are in the rest of the Caribbean?

How is that never included in the geography text books?
Surely it is a piece of cake to measure the adjacent currents?
They are using the same satellites for god's sake!

So now we come to contra rotation:

Spin

The human species is perfectly evolved to understand the design principles of creation. He started with the prototype man and put him in control of the earth and whilst he was still designing Eve, Adam was learning which animals tasted best and how to catch them.

The god brought his wife to him and then he needed a kitchen to cook them in because that is where the saucepans go, And he went on to pipe water into the kitchen and sooner rather than leater he needed a kitchen sink.
But that was OK because the design principle involved in her making included smaller feet than Adam.

So he designed the sink with smaller feet in mind and put it at such a height that no matter what breast size he preferred she would manage to fit around it perfectly. And so everything in the garden was perfect until the day she decided on salad.

Shortly thereafter the vegetarian invented murder because the sacrifice of animals was killing him. And along with murder went women's rights.
But that is OK for where is the best place to study the works of creation than the kitchen sink.

I was misdirected about that for a long time because I used to prefer to being outdoors except when I needed to lean from the library or sleep on what I had learned. And shortly after I was divorced I had to start getting acquainted with cooking all over again. And so I learned more about the shape of the world.

For instance when you cook spaghetti have you ever noticed that once you drain the water, when you give the saucepan a shake the mass takes the form of North America?

Not every time of course but enough to make you curious?
(The thing is which angel invented the border with Canada?
That was good one.)

Here is another one:
When you slap a woman in the woods how long will she stop talking to you for?
(Here's a tip don't try it unless you prefer cooking supper, alone, for the rest of your life. -I'm not kidding you; that one is bloody effective!)

Being a man, I had to sleep on it a few years but once I got that all continents are the same basic shape as Australia  and that you need a globe to see the land mass of the Northern Hemisphere to show you what the Southern Hemisphere is going to look like one day; I was off.

Soon I was able to demonstrate perfect fluid principles like captured rotation by floating a speck of something in a container and turning around with it in my hand.

And the problems involved with generating a vortex by emptying bottles of water into the sink. (If you use a glass one the vortex can develop but try it with plastic and you invent vapour lock -only useful for demonstrating Navier Stokes conundrums and supersonic flight, so no biggie!)

This brings me to vortex shedding with large cyclonic systems. Now i know every woman tends to get eye development every morning and evening when she sorts out her husband and sons' flask of tea.
(How fast you can open it once you break a vapour lock is a matter of friction and dealing with perfect fluids in a "fourth-matter-state" of physics.)

So why do tropical storms not combine into a single cell system in the same way that higher latitude systems do:

And the answer is that I don't know. Most people think that I don't know everything and up to a point they are quite right but I do know someone that does know everything and if I keep waking up every morning the way I have been for the past sixty-odd years I am certain I too will find out.

It may be a vapour lock problem similar to the flask stopper one (work in progress.) Or it may turn out to be a sequential of harmonics to do with being warm cores -or both. If it is both, I think I am going to have to live to be unpleasantly old. Let's see what we can do with this situation before I go to bed.

All I have to do is not die.

Highlighted are three systems off Cancun Mexico (just kidding) Oaxaca (I always forget how to spell Oaxaca but have you seen how pretty the women are in Cancun?) and Hawaii. I will have to go there one day now I have stopped taking beta-blockers and the effect has worn off.

Damn and now I have forgotten what i was going to say. Let's hope I don't die in my sleep if it was important.

I will just post the rest of these pictures for you to play with before i forget the sequence:

See what I mean?

This damned Blogger app is too efficient for my own good, sometimes.

I just remembered this is an interesting day for contra rotation:

Bloody hell that is impressive

Itlooks even better in big http://mkwc2.ifa.hawaii.edu/models/modelsanim.cgi?banner=mkwc&model=gfs&domain=npac&orient=horiz&param=winds&level=sfc&modeltime=2017072312&gfsanimduration=384&banner=mkwc&imgsize=Large

But don't worry about all this meandering I will get it sorted out with edit and update. Meanwhile I need to collect some charts and go back to bed and not die again. And try to recall what I was working on besides cold cores and warm ones.

Infinity and be yonder

On Sunday, 9 July 2017 11:38:15 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer  wrote:
> On Sunday, 9 July 2017 04:42:51 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer  wrote:
> > More balderdash from uk.sci.weather:
> > On Saturday, 8 July 2017 12:01:57 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer  wrote:
> > > On Friday, 16 June 2017 11:20:44 UTC+1, Alastair  wrote:
> > > >
> > > > Although John's report suggests more melting of the Arctic sea ice cap, these two charts show nothing to get excited about.
> > > > http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2017.png
> > > > http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/charctic-interactive-sea-ice-graph/
> > > >
> > > > But we live in interesting times!
> > >
> > > We do indeed. We have an acknowledged expert telling us he used to do the ice for the Met Office or some such place.
> > >
> > > I see that the ice build up in Antarctica was comprehensive through [2011 up to 2015 edited]. Do you suppose the Larsen Ice-field has suffered as a function of over-abundance or are you going to stick with the pack?
> >
> > [There is a large crack in the sea ice that is known as calving that is going to be producing an herd of icebergs the size of islands in the Caribbean. Such a phenomenon is a regular growth cycle, as ice flows flow, down south.
> >
> > > When large amounts of ice forms it tends to drop the temperature to the bottom of the sea, being cold, dense brine. Right?
> > >
> > > What the OP should have stated is that a close-up in the surface cover actually indicates storms, not heating. But I am not the only one for whom maths poses difficulty apparently.
> >
> > [These so called experts dwell on a single aspect: Area not actual quantity.]
> >
> > > Without putting a storm archive on the graph page for cross-reference, it ends up becoming nonsense. So one has to ask the question: "What are the experts thinking?" or even: "Are the experts thinking?" to be honest I quit posting [t]here because it became obvious that none of the f*cking experts were thinking and I didn't want to be associated with such losers, never mind their insistence on ignoring the finest forecaster on the planet.
> >
> > [Or at least the only one I am sure is asking for extra terrestrial help.]
> >
> > > I dare say I have hurt some of them but while they have their heads in the clouds they might have been [productively] looking at sea surface pressures.
> > >
> > > The puzzle now clarifies to how the ice build-up tends to follow volcanic periods.
> >
> > If they are honest with themselves they will pull the data apart and realise that the sea ice has built up to its natural limit and when the conditions changed, the huge raft had begun to shatter.
> >
> > In continental weather patterns in the northern hemisphere the ice break up generally cracks in the spring in some places with an huge report, I have read, sounds like a quarry blast.
> >
> > I believe this happens every spring following a cold winter. I have no personal experience with it. But there are videos online showing glaciers calving regular as the seasons.
> >
> > For thousands of years we have known (as a species) that this is all a part of the climate of colder lands that has existed since Noah's day. (Correct me if I am wrong.)
> >
> > I promised to put in two halfpence worth when  they had had time to reconsider. If they fail to do so I am tempted to show them the whale.
> >
> > I have not done the research but I am sure my theory will turn out correct. Previous large ice field break ups will show a large amount of growth in the preceding four or five years.
> >
> > IIRC there was a phase in the Larsen field, following 4 years of growth, that the ice field remained at the statistical average (there is a base line on the chart that remains after you clear the field. So a layer of honesty is presented with the data.)
> >
> > I left the group in disgust because the experts failed to point that out to the gullible.
> >
> > So now when I eventually post this argument on my blog  there will be pictures so anyone can see there is no such thing as climate change. I believe their own personal interests will not allow them to see what they do not wish to see.
> >
> > Such people will be left to fend for themselves when the Four horsemen pass through the land.
> >
> > First comes truth, then come decision time. Then comes the result of believing the lies. This is the product of the four horsemen. Their agency is not particularly evil.
> > They do not harm the oil or the wine.
>
> It is amazing what you see when you look:
>
> http://weatherlawyer.blogspot.co.uk/2017/07/#7468527589542178954

I feel that I have learned so much in the past few days since I started this thread that it it seems like I wrote it years ago. Consider what this means in the light of the idea that a planetary alignment is responsible for the massive activity on the oceans at the same time that all these volcanoes erupt whilst eathquakes take place one after the other:

Tropical Storm Tracker: There are 7 active systems as of 21 Jul, 19:44 GMT http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

Volcanoes Today, 20 Jul 2017: Fuego volcano, Karymsky, Klyuchevskoy, Turrialba, Sangay, Sinabung, Sabancaya
https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/volcano_news.html
for example and all of that actually moderates these things:
https://www.google.co.uk/search?q=earthquake&source=lnms&tbm=nws&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjPv9qbk5vVAhXhL8AKHVpHDmIQ_AUICigB&biw=1024&bih=611

Not that the dead are any less dead.
All creation is crying out to god and here is what they are saying one to another:
"Every animal is going out to be killed one way or another by an animal."

Wouldn't that be nice if it were not so -of the overproduction of fecundity could be controlled in some way. Or would we do away with puppies?

Consider this:
You will hear reports of earthquake in one place after another
https://wol.jw.org/en/wol/b/r1/lp-e/nwt/E/2013/40/24#study=discover

Look out that nobody misleads you, we know religions are scams even charities. I have no idea how much the directors of OxFam get (32 charity bosses paid over £200,000 last year - Telegraph) but the Socialist leaders of the Clinton Foundation became a multimillionaire over decades as misrulers of the largest government enterprise in human history.

Meanwhile one of the Popes officers (Cardinal Orgy) is in the news after some 1500 years of enforced celibacy, contrary to biblical teaching. Work that one out!

So either Jesus Christ was a scam, a fairy tale or true. And when he said that nation will rise against nation and kingdom against kingdom, and there will be food shortages and earthquakes in one place after another. All these things are a beginning of pangs of distress either he knew about planetary alignments or he didn't.

And regardless of that (assuming I have understood all of this stuff correctly) By Nilfanion - Created using WikiProject Tropical cyclones/Tracks. The background image is from NASA [1]. The tracking data is from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center's best track database, Public Domain, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=2505727 and all the gubbins that goes with it which I touched in the above paragraphs, has been happening since before Noah got into the ark-building/world saving business.

By the way I assumed a <5.5M or larger was going to set off a Fijian bound tropical storm next only to be proven wrong by the Japanese bound one.
There are 4 active NW Pacific systems as of 21 Jul, 20:41 GMT
 5.5 M. 92km ESE of Port-Vila, Vanuatu 2017-07-21 at 08:59 (UTC)

So what do you think is going to happen at the end of the month?

I wanted it that way
https://youtu.be/cFRk0FfaQi0?list=RDcFRk0FfaQi0
I think that any love is good lovin'
And so I took what I could get

Northridge

From Wikipedia:

17 January, at 4:30:55 a.m. PST the 1994 Northridge earthquake (Mw 6.7, duration 10–20 seconds,epicenter: Reseda, San Fernando Valley, Los Angeles region, California. 
The highest ever (1.8g (16.7 m/s2) ground acceleration instrumentally recorded in an urban area in North America felt at Las Vegas, Nevada, about 220 miles (360 km.)

The peak ground velocity at the Rinaldi Receiving Station was 183 cm/s (4.09 mph or 6.59 km/h), the fastest peak ground velocity ever recorded. In addition, two 6.0 Mw aftershocks occurred, the first about one minute after the initial event and the second approximately 11 hours later, the strongest of several thousand aftershocks in all. The death toll was 57, with more than 8,700 injured. In addition, property damage was estimated to be between $13 and $50 billion, making it one of the costliest natural disasters in U.S. history.

It is unlikely that the tropical storm that preceded the quake was a massive onas large category storms tend to produce swarms of smaller earthquakes
☿  Mercury
♀  Venus
♁  Earth
♂  Mars
♃  Jupiter
♄  Saturn
⛢  Uranus
♆  Neptune

For those interested in Astrometeorology there was an alignment of the solar system at the time, consisting of:
Earth, Sol, Mercury, Venus, Mars, Uranus, and Neptune. Jupiter and Saturn were alos in sequence but offset to an unknown degree; as were Mercury and Mars to a lesser extent.

The line-up is not dissimilar to the recent set up for the M.7.7 in Russia, thus I am convinced that there were numerous tropical storms shortly before the 'quake and possible though unlikely to have been during it.

I am presuming this is because god designed the volcanic activity also significant (with both events) to produce fertiliser and fish-food whilst also designing earthquakes to render the sub-mountain range aquifers accessible, all in his due times.
(The mountains have to be broken open in order for superheated water to dissolve the quartz creating magma.)

It is not that you can't have both earthquakes and volcanic eruptions at the same time although they are rare especiall for anything over M.7.5.

I wrote this in order to set things straight between men and god following a comminicartion from a website:

I live in Southern California and am in a constant state of fear. I am somewhat open and sensitive to the idea of predictions but I appreciate reading not yet proven speculations. I sleep better at night after reading  {such speculations, despite rationalisations} by a rational thinkers or "real" scientists/researchers (though after our recent events, I question just how much "they" do know.)
After the Northridge quakes I was consumed with the "what if's" and found that the more "facts" or truths I can learn about quakes, the more alleviated my fears become. The predictions do raise the hairs on my neck but I look at all the windows that have passed with little occurring and I'm armed against fear.

I have been pretty accurate (within hours) of predicting major local quakes. {with psychsomatic (health) warnings} I don't think even the good people at CalTech would be too interested in monitoring my {symptoms} rain or shine, dew or dry!)

No my dear I am sure it will be difficult to find medical interest as the skill set developed is designed to omit spirituality. You might exclude pulses (legumes)  from your diet including soya and peanut (and oils) as well as sauces made of tamarisk. You might even be careful with coaco and similar beans.

Try a baked potato with salted butter and avocado when your stomach is upset. But nothing works as good as nothing for the first 12 hours (apart from water, that is.)

The Impossible

I find it impossible to believe that science wrote off astrology in Victorian times and never looked at it since. There has to be a criminal intent involved
Think of the millions of souls lost to "acts of god" when it was due to incompetence on our part. Sorry dad. I apologise for the rest of us, you know what we are like please forgive us.

This is the line-up for the recent magnitude 7.7 earthquake and the following 6.4M.

On Wednesday, 19 July 2017 20:57:45 UTC+1, Weatherlawyer  wrote in Sci.geo.earthquakes:
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-163.57,-45.10,476/loc=178.020,-37.970

http://ds.iris.edu/seismon/eventlist/index.phtml?region=Australia_NZ&lon=-175.17&lat=-24.89
Mt Bagana is an active volcano located in the centre of the island of Bougainville, Papua New Guinea, the largest island of the Solomon group. It is the most active volcano in the country, occupying a remote portion of central Bougainville Island. Wikipedia
So that was it then?

Although, to be honest, the clock doesn't run out on Fernanada until Friday Noon. At least we now know what happens when a large outer planet comes into play. I really must get to know how Celestia works.
Snow hard feelings but it is Chile in chilly:

A rare snowfall in the Chilean capital Santiago has caused disruption and blackouts, leaving thousands of residents shivering in the dark.
About 250,000 people were hit by power cuts, officials said, mostly caused by snow-laden trees falling on cables.
One death was reported - of a worker trying to clear ice - and two other people were injured by a fallen power line, Chilean media said.
Meteorologists say it was the heaviest snowfall in Santiago since 2007.
It came as the city and surrounding region were enduring an unusually cold snap.

It is always worth bearing in mind that snowfall and the decliantions of the outer planets are linked with volcanic activity.

http://weatherlawyer.blogspot.co.uk/2017/07/#3695179190654788366

19/07/17  02:01  4.0 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17  16:52  4.1 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17  01:06  5.0 M. NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
18/07/17  00:26  5.3 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17  08:00  4.1 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17  04:48  4.1 M. NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
18/07/17  13:10  4.4 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17  09:34  4.1 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17  00:51  4.4 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
17/07/17  23:49  5.1 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17  10:39  4.4 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
17/07/17  23:57  4.8 M. NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
17/07/17  23:34  7.7 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
17/07/17  13:19  4.4 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17  08:40  4.2 M. NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
17/07/17  11:05  6.2 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
17/07/17  11:23  5.1 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17  20:18  5.1 M. NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
17/07/17  23:52  5.1 M. NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
18/07/17  00:46  4.4 M. SOUTH OF ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
18/07/17  01:03  4.6 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17  19:31  4.8 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17  06:02  5.3 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17  01:51  5.1 M. KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
02/07/17  02:02  4.3 M. NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
24/06/17  02:12  4.3 M. NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
06/07/17  23:02  4.9 M. NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
28/06/17  00:57  4.4 M. OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
07/07/17  02:49  4.0 M. RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
14/07/17  01:12  4.5 M. KAMCHATKA PENINSULA, RUSSIA
21/06/17  19:20  5.0 M. RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
11/07/17  23:42  4.0 M. RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
15/07/17  16:11  4.3 M. RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
20/06/17  07:26  4.2 M. OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

Something went bump late this afternoon. Time of writing = 19 July 2017 Quite a big one too:
It got hot and muggy then a very light drizzle with an F1or F2 light air.
Karymsky volcano Volcanic Ash Advisory: POSS ERUPTION OBS AT 20170719/1230Z FL140 EXTD W OBS VA DTG: 19/1250Z

This stuff is bubbling like warm beer:

http://mkwc2.ifa.hawaii.edu/requests/sequences/86.23.66.170-1500495421.10404.tar
The next TS will be in the Indian Ocean following this:
5.9M. Mauritius - Reunion region 2017-07-19 12:16.
just after the:
6.4 M. 98km WNW of Camana, Peru. 2017-07-18 at 02:05
And then we can expect a <5.5 to produce a TS with the: 5.3M. and 4.9M. Tonga region swarm.

I wonder what the rule is for a storm to go to an epicentre like this:
5.1M. Barbados region, Windward Islands 2017-07-19 13:31? (TS Don.)
I noticed this with Pam in Australian waters a year or so back, but once it failed to follow with the others I never thought any more about it. I presume it has to do with the magnitude of the planets involved. Speaking of which:

It is all due to the positions of the planets at:
https://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/Solar

With some seriously interesting line-ups such as:
Saturn Earth Venus.
Mars Sol Earth.
Mercury Earth Neptune
A 60 degree triangle with Jupiter Earth Saturn
and several 120's

So that explains practically everything so far.

Try the angles for the earthquakes of:
7.7M. Russia. 2017-07-17 23:34 (this is interesting)
and
6.4M. Peru. 2017-07-18 at 02:05 (much the same with uranaus and venus either side of the line.)

Jehovah has certainly made the maths easy. So easy that a dyscalculiac can do it by reason of it not being a maths problem.
I think it is time that I started behaving myself.(it has been one hell of a ride though and I wouldn't change a single thing. Thanks god, sorrya about the language.)

Famous last words: "I die happy." My work is complete. (Not counting the housework of course. But who would have a smelly old fart?)

I wonder if I have time for some baked potatoes?

Spiders

Spiders tend to go into suspended animation until tropical storms threaten. How they manage to do this is a mystery. But the sudden appearance of big juicy bugs in the bathroom tends to excite young ladies just as much as old ones.

One thing noticeable about a spate of tropical storms in the likelihood of one of them producing a reasonably large earthquake out of all the fallout that develops behind them.

It is for this reason that a Thaumaturge will take heed of the recent placement of hard won webbing:

7.7M. 198km ESE of Nikol'skoye, Russia 2017-07-17 at 23:34 (UTC).

He will find himself chasing his tail around 80 degrees from the locations of the storms that piqued his interest but eventually find it was a decrepit minor cyclone that imparted his denouement. (See what I mean about the French?)

And you always thought it was the fooking Russians. Well in this case...

Although Category 3 hurricane Eugene 07-12 July 2017, was indeed a large tropical storm these things are extremely small measured against the backdrop of the huge temperature/pressure gradientsthey eventually join, further north:

In the forecast your friendly, neighbourhood thaumaturge had the foresight to record for you this chart (drawn for t+ 384 hours) shows a stain at about 45 North, 145 West which is the dark horse that eventually produced the swarm.

Conventional seismicity has some bug up its arse about plate tectonics rather than weather doing this stuff but there is no accounting for bloody stupid.

Date     Time    Latitude    Longitude    Magnitude    Location

19/07/17    02:01:19    53.4    169.57    4    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17    16:52:45    53.83    169.23    4.1    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17    01:06:36    53.75    170.21    5    NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
18/07/17    00:26:24    54.09    169.41    5.3    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17    08:00:01    54.05    168.96    4.1    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17    04:48:24    53.62    170.96    4.1    NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
18/07/17    13:10:53    54.21    169.06    4.4    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17    09:34:10    54.23    169.16    4.1    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17    00:51:20    54.25    168.88    4.4    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
17/07/17    23:49:29    54.33    169.33    5.1    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17    10:39:32    54.35    168.99    4.4    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
17/07/17    23:57:43    53.26    171.42    4.8    NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
17/07/17    23:34:13    54.47    168.81    7.7    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
17/07/17    13:19:45    54.51    168.58    4.4    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17    08:40:34    53.03    171.59    4.2    NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
17/07/17    11:05:08    54.58    168.65    6.2    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
17/07/17    11:23:01    54.61    168.69    5.1    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17    20:18:40    53.28    171.91    5.1    NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
17/07/17    23:52:49    53.23    171.9    5.1    NEAR ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
18/07/17    00:46:26    52.71    167.05    4.4    SOUTH OF ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
18/07/17    01:03:05    55.05    167.32    4.6    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17    19:31:23    55.15    166.94    4.8    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17    06:02:39    55.25    167.08    5.3    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
18/07/17    01:51:37    55.35    166.68    5.1    KOMANDORSKIYE OSTROVA REGION
02/07/17    02:02:39    55.31    162    4.3    NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
24/06/17    02:12:43    57.04    162.67    4.3    NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
06/07/17    23:02:50    53.37    160.43    4.9    NEAR EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
28/06/17    00:57:41    52.81    160.45    4.4    OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA
07/07/17    02:49:57    51.99    178.68    4    RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
14/07/17    01:12:26    56.14    160.69    4.5    KAMCHATKA PENINSULA, RUSSIA
21/06/17    19:20:27    52.18    179.42    5    RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
11/07/17    23:42:49    51.06    178.95    4    RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
15/07/17    16:11:13    51.5    179.85    4.3    RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
20/06/17    07:26:18    51.37    159.03    4.2    OFF EAST COAST OF KAMCHATKA

If you cut a disc out of  paper the size and shape of weather systems you will realise where Weggener went wrong. Whilst I can't blame him for trying I can condemn all the stupid bastards since then for persisting in their inanimation.

But stupid is as djoooopiid duhs and that is why the whole earth is in the hands of destruction engineers. What can one do but hide from the cretins?

A slug in the air

When the weather turns cold and humid it is a sure sign that a volcano is about to erupt. Since such melodrama is often accompanied by warm sunny days shortly thereafter, it is likely such signals may be missed. This is when a poorly sealed house lets slugs into the kitchen or even through the front door.

And if the householder is still blind to the problem he will almost certainly notice that his salt cellar is blocked when he comes to serve his chips. If he not careful to vent his house, making the most of those beautiful drying days that follow, he is likely to get problems with mould caused by the initial damp conditions.

The diligent Mage will do his best to find out all he can about the causes of these things. What can it hurt?

The Water Margin

With three topical cyclones in the same water at the same time it is possible to to see the development of the Warm Pool regardless of the prevailing winds:
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-126.36,10.08,175/loc=-91.019,11.368

The ITCZ or Intertropical Convergence Zone  is where North meets South and the  resulting convection on the sea surface is quite a strong current that tends to parallel the equator (heading east.)

However at the sea surface quite a lot of salt falls out of the cyclonic system and  maintains the temperature it kept at evaporation. Obviously it loses some of the heat in the process. It must keep a certain quantity that is lost to the vapour that initially went with it.

Warm air in the Atlantic crosses Central America at 35 KPH. (What a damned |Nuisance it is that the imbeciles at nullschool have been conditions to follow the napoleonic globalism school of metrification when it has been proved that the French fucked up the measurements of the metre!)

Wind-speed around Tropical Hurricane Fernanda are 55 KPH at the time of writing it's given strength is a Category 2 estimated between 83  and 95 knots. (A knot is 1/60th of a degree of a Great Circle; the estimated average circumference of the planet being 24,874 miles (40,030 km), but from pole-to-pole — the meridional circumference — Earth is 24,860 miles (40,008 km) 

The first prototype metre bar was short by about 200 micrometres because of miscalculation of the "flattening at the poles".
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metre#History_of_definition

I am not against Globalism or Catholicism per se but there is a reason why god made mankind to be all one species despite  separating them behind mountains and rivers even continents and oceans. It is the same reason we build castles on hills and require navies. 

It is because the kidnapping of women and children is a quick way to create wealth and reduce the comparative  wealth of your potential customer base.
When starving Asians presented themselves to the King of Egypt at the time the pyramids were being built everyone saw the move as a way to save themselves but a few generations later it all went to pot.

Cultural identities rely on family relationships being allowed to settle themselves as best they can. In the streams of time everything is lost to superstitions and imaginings that carry on from word of mouth without having a immutable standard of belief. But if people can get away from the rigidity of their preconceptions they turn to to be capable of resolving difficulties amicably.

All we have to do is get rid of the bloody French!
(Then we can deal the the damned Germans.)

Some like it worms

Generally in a different oceanic cycle, one where earthquakes predominate, misty early mornings in Britain (following spells of tornadoes in USA) we tend to find car pars in semi-rural locations (the outskirts of large towns and the centres of small ones for instance) crawling with worms.

Such beneficence tends to take most people who are not thaumaturges by surprise. And not being thamaturgical in nature they either tend to ignore it or have better things to do than even notice such things in the first place.

Those of you who have chosen to ignore a natural phenomenon like the appearance of innumerable worms stranding themselves in the oncoming warm weather on a road surface they have no hope of crossing or digging into, are doomed to never finding out the deeper things of god.

First let me explain that god has never in his life designed a car park nor has he ever laid a strip of concrete.(If you don't count things like Vesuvius) so god should not be blamed for the death of worms.

None the less he knows that we design thing to certain low dynamics called financial and political constraints and in a measure of his magnanimity he allows us to think he is to blame for our failures to design things properly. I doubt he hold the deaths of so many worms against us every tornado spell. none the less there is always a bill to pay in a nicely balanced creation.

I have no proof of my ideas but I am pretty sure that if he had not designed the material universe to take care of incendiary incidentals like a small cloud on the absolute finite margins of creation to be one iota out of place, The Big Bang would actually take place (but not as we don't know it.)