Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Forecasting volcanic activity 2 (or not, as the case may be)

I was going to complete the effort to diagnose the method of forecasting earthquakes but something interesting cropped up: Extra tropical overland storms; to wit, Dust storms.

http://youtu.be/adKwG9ZuzFw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=adKwG9ZuzFw

I was expecting something more northern that those we had, never the less, we did have something. But what occupied my attention was the fact that the following pair of earthquakes did not mature until late:

2015/02/24




Latitude Longitude Magnitude
13:11:00 12.42 51.06 4.5 Mb Gulf of Aden
10:23:00 12.97 51.07 4.9 Mb Gulf of Aden

Now here is the thing: It always forms when there are strong gales and low category hurricanes/typhoons. At the moment there are none showing. So something is wrong in the system. In the meantime we can make use of the chart to show something that ALWAYS occurs when storms end:
Twin (or treble) parallel fronts.
On the chart above they are the two blue lines of triangles that run from the centre down along the coast of Europe to the bottom left of the picture. They don't have to follow that course. And they don't have to be blue. But for now you can see where the seismic disturbances foretold some 7 1/2 hours in advance will have arrived by now (12:36 at the time of writing.)

Just find pairs or triple earthquakes on this page.

But of course, they never arrived. There is a reason for that. And I don't know what it is. But of course nothing in geo-physics is gospel (except that which is actual gospel.)

With what are called higher latitudes (than either tropics, places further from the equator that those that have tropical storms) storms move in the opposite direction to tropical storms.

I don't know much about upper atmospherics but the strongest storms are created with a cyclone at the base and an anticyclone aloft. I have been assured this is so as far as the tropics is concerned. I have no idea what the conditions are for higher latitude altitudes.

Feels like that music. Pity it won't play.