https://weather.gc.ca/ensemble/naefs/cartes_e.htmlPressure at sea level.
There are one or two anticylones in the mix allowing for a little rotation but there are seven or more cyclones on Tuesday's chart.
The problem is that the forecast for Monday is not easy to interpret. The one for Wednesday is full of blocked systems, so I am going to go with a prediction for another large earthquake.
To be honest I am not certain if there will be another large one, or if it will disperse harmlessly with a series of smaller swarms. The North Atlantic is a picture of irresolution with two cyclones well developed either side of Greenland.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/surface-pressure/#?tab=surfacePressureColour&fcTime=1504958400
The western Low is large enough for a volcano whilst the eastern one is the image of a dispersing volcano too. Kudos to the geologists that missed all that!
(Who pays those guys?)
Shiveluch (Kamchatka): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Tokyo (VAAC) issued the following report: POSS VA CONTINUOUSLY OBS ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.
...10 Sep:
Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Tokyo (VAAC) issued the following report: VA CONTINUOUSLY OBS ON SATELLITE IMAGERY OBS VA DTG:09/2320Z
Sakurajima (Kyushu, Japan): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Tokyo (VAAC) issued the following report: EXPLODED AT 20170910/0307Z OVER FL050 STNR OBS VA DTG:10/0300Z
Langila (New Britain, Papua New Guinea): (9 Sep) Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Darwin (VAAC) issued the following report: VA TO FL080 EXT TO SW OBS VA DTG:09/2150Z
Dukono (Halmahera): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Darwin (VAAC) issued the following report: CONTINUOUS VA TO FL070 MOV NW LAST OBS 10/0110Z
...9 Sep:
Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Darwin (VAAC) issued the following report: CONTINUOUS VA TO FL070 MOV NW OBS VA DTG:09/2230Z
Reventador (Ecuador): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Washington (VAAC) issued the following report: VA EM AT ABT 10/0900Z
Sabancaya (Peru): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Buenos Aires (VAAC) issued the following report: INTERMITTENT EMISSIONS OBS VA DTG:10/0705Z
Perhaps I was being a little harsh?
So now I have to gather the charts and pass judgement: http://weatherlawyer.blogspot.co.uk/2017/09/next.html
A 12 inch globe has a perimeter around the equator of about 37 1/2 inches, a knotted shoe lace will easily describe an arc of 80 degrees on it perfectly accurately enough for making rough estimates about geo-phenomena.
The point is that the centre of the low in the cyclone west of Greenland is going to be some 80 degrees from the next earthquake or (more likely) volcano.
Follow the weather fronts (on whatever charts) for those hurricanes and typhoons to find the most likely epicentre or whatever volcanic eruptions are called.
You might prefer to try the US charts but you country will besuppltying adequate data for most people to follow the gist of this in their own languages one a server from their own country.
I am using the The Met-Office's because it is the one I am at home with. I am reasonably happy with its strictures one day perhaps someone will tell them about the rest of the world and tell them how to get there.
Until then I am confident that any johnny foreigner can join the dots taking him in the required direction. All that stuff at the bottom left hand side of things should be leading enough tor the would be creationist.
The rest of you monkeys can follow along later. (Probably.)
The point is that the centre of the low in the cyclone west of Greenland is going to be some 80 degrees from the next earthquake or (more likely) volcano.
Follow the weather fronts (on the charts) for those hurricanes and typhoons to find the most likely epicentre or whatever volcanic eruptions are called.
It really isn't all that hard you just need to know that god doesn't do anything before consulting some of us. And that from then on it is up to us to get it right. I am not the only man making interpretations of what I am seeing. I am not saying I always get it right but any reasonable person can see for themselves the methods that most of us are using and act accordingly.
Do as you wish with what I am telling you:
https://youtu.be/cwqhdRs4jyA
There are one or two anticylones in the mix allowing for a little rotation but there are seven or more cyclones on Tuesday's chart.
The problem is that the forecast for Monday is not easy to interpret. The one for Wednesday is full of blocked systems, so I am going to go with a prediction for another large earthquake.
To be honest I am not certain if there will be another large one, or if it will disperse harmlessly with a series of smaller swarms. The North Atlantic is a picture of irresolution with two cyclones well developed either side of Greenland.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/surface-pressure/#?tab=surfacePressureColour&fcTime=1504958400
The western Low is large enough for a volcano whilst the eastern one is the image of a dispersing volcano too. Kudos to the geologists that missed all that!
(Who pays those guys?)
Shiveluch (Kamchatka): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Tokyo (VAAC) issued the following report: POSS VA CONTINUOUSLY OBS ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.
...10 Sep:
Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Tokyo (VAAC) issued the following report: VA CONTINUOUSLY OBS ON SATELLITE IMAGERY OBS VA DTG:09/2320Z
Sakurajima (Kyushu, Japan): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Tokyo (VAAC) issued the following report: EXPLODED AT 20170910/0307Z OVER FL050 STNR OBS VA DTG:10/0300Z
Langila (New Britain, Papua New Guinea): (9 Sep) Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Darwin (VAAC) issued the following report: VA TO FL080 EXT TO SW OBS VA DTG:09/2150Z
Dukono (Halmahera): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Darwin (VAAC) issued the following report: CONTINUOUS VA TO FL070 MOV NW LAST OBS 10/0110Z
...9 Sep:
Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Darwin (VAAC) issued the following report: CONTINUOUS VA TO FL070 MOV NW OBS VA DTG:09/2230Z
Reventador (Ecuador): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Washington (VAAC) issued the following report: VA EM AT ABT 10/0900Z
Sabancaya (Peru): Volcanic Ash Advisory Center Buenos Aires (VAAC) issued the following report: INTERMITTENT EMISSIONS OBS VA DTG:10/0705Z
Perhaps I was being a little harsh?
So now I have to gather the charts and pass judgement: http://weatherlawyer.blogspot.co.uk/2017/09/next.html
A 12 inch globe has a perimeter around the equator of about 37 1/2 inches, a knotted shoe lace will easily describe an arc of 80 degrees on it perfectly accurately enough for making rough estimates about geo-phenomena.
The point is that the centre of the low in the cyclone west of Greenland is going to be some 80 degrees from the next earthquake or (more likely) volcano.
Follow the weather fronts (on whatever charts) for those hurricanes and typhoons to find the most likely epicentre or whatever volcanic eruptions are called.
You might prefer to try the US charts but you country will besuppltying adequate data for most people to follow the gist of this in their own languages one a server from their own country.
I am using the The Met-Office's because it is the one I am at home with. I am reasonably happy with its strictures one day perhaps someone will tell them about the rest of the world and tell them how to get there.
Until then I am confident that any johnny foreigner can join the dots taking him in the required direction. All that stuff at the bottom left hand side of things should be leading enough tor the would be creationist.
The rest of you monkeys can follow along later. (Probably.)
The point is that the centre of the low in the cyclone west of Greenland is going to be some 80 degrees from the next earthquake or (more likely) volcano.
Follow the weather fronts (on the charts) for those hurricanes and typhoons to find the most likely epicentre or whatever volcanic eruptions are called.
It really isn't all that hard you just need to know that god doesn't do anything before consulting some of us. And that from then on it is up to us to get it right. I am not the only man making interpretations of what I am seeing. I am not saying I always get it right but any reasonable person can see for themselves the methods that most of us are using and act accordingly.
Do as you wish with what I am telling you:
https://youtu.be/cwqhdRs4jyA
Well it's all right, riding around in the breeze well it's all right, if you live the life you please well it's all right, doing the best you can well it's all right, as long as you lend a hand. You can sit around and wait for the phone to ring, waiting for someone to tell you everything sit around and wonder what tomorrow will bring
Maybe a diamond ring.
Making rough estimates about geo-phenomena.
Making rough estimates about geo-phenomena.
I have only just seen that the cyclone in the top left (NW of Greenland) is a twin core system. Just in time for a correction. Place the lace, or whatever you use, in the middle or the dual and the nearest anticyclone's core and it will run out at the next place to watch.
Unfortunately my experience with forecasting volcanic eruptions is not as good as that of my forecasting earthquakes. But I am assuming this lack of subjectivity will be made up for with the nearness of objections.
Volcanoes tend to be obvious, especially in eruption.
I am sure you will make the best of it, goodle uckk .
Well it's all right, even if they say you're wrong
Well it's all right, sometimes you have to be strong
Well it's all right, as long as you got somewhere to lay
Well it's all right, everyday is judgement day for someone.
Interesting:
10-SEP-2017 21:40. N. 57.13. E 33.68. 5.9 M. REYKJANES RIDGE it looks like we will have to wait for reports of volcanic activity. I suspect they operate on a different frequency, I dare say it is a small matter of a few days. It has only just occurred to me that I can't hear earthquakes. I have the idea I am going to prefer it this way. And anyway I can't hear weather fronts either but I can see those too.
So swarms it is:
10-SEP-2017 13:40. N 15.63. E 98.60. 4.6 M. OFF COAST OF GUERRERO, MEXICO 10403005
10-SEP-2017 12:00. N 15.89. E 98.49. 4.5 M. OFF COAST OF GUERRERO, MEXICO 10402961
10-SEP-2017 13:25. N 15.48. E 98.88. 4.3 M. OFF COAST OF GUERRERO, MEXICO 10402987
10-SEP-2017 12:06. N 14.05. E 97.15. 4.3 M. OFF COAST OF OAXACA, MEXICO
And these will be appearing in all such future events as appear they must in archives that contain such storms:
10-SEP-2017 08:44. 41.76 N. 142.90 E. 5.4 M. 43 0 HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION
10-SEP-2017 15:51. 35.72 N. 139.11 E. 4.6 M. 66 748 NEAR S. COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
10-SEP-2017 19:05. 42.56 N. -111.41 W. 4.2 M. EASTERN IDAHO
06-SEP-2017 07:55. 42.56 N. -111.41 W. 4.1 M. EASTERN IDAHO
09-SEP-2017 08:23. 42.56 N. -111.42 W. 4.1 M. EASTERN IDAHO
10-SEP-2017 11:12. 42.57 N. -111.43 W. 4.6 M. EASTERN IDAHO
05-SEP-2017 20:54. 42.58 N. -111.42 W. 4.3 M. EASTERN IDAHO
10-SEP-2017 09:47. 42.56 N. -111.45 W. 4.7 M. EASTERN IDAHO
Well there's a thing. I'd'n know Idaho eh. Fancy that.
A nice bit of work, if I say so myself. You geologists can stick that in your pipe and smoulder!
Unfortunately my experience with forecasting volcanic eruptions is not as good as that of my forecasting earthquakes. But I am assuming this lack of subjectivity will be made up for with the nearness of objections.
Volcanoes tend to be obvious, especially in eruption.
I am sure you will make the best of it, goodle uckk .
Well it's all right, even if they say you're wrong
Well it's all right, sometimes you have to be strong
Well it's all right, as long as you got somewhere to lay
Well it's all right, everyday is judgement day for someone.
Interesting:
10-SEP-2017 21:40. N. 57.13. E 33.68. 5.9 M. REYKJANES RIDGE it looks like we will have to wait for reports of volcanic activity. I suspect they operate on a different frequency, I dare say it is a small matter of a few days. It has only just occurred to me that I can't hear earthquakes. I have the idea I am going to prefer it this way. And anyway I can't hear weather fronts either but I can see those too.
So swarms it is:
10-SEP-2017 13:40. N 15.63. E 98.60. 4.6 M. OFF COAST OF GUERRERO, MEXICO 10403005
10-SEP-2017 12:00. N 15.89. E 98.49. 4.5 M. OFF COAST OF GUERRERO, MEXICO 10402961
10-SEP-2017 13:25. N 15.48. E 98.88. 4.3 M. OFF COAST OF GUERRERO, MEXICO 10402987
10-SEP-2017 12:06. N 14.05. E 97.15. 4.3 M. OFF COAST OF OAXACA, MEXICO
And these will be appearing in all such future events as appear they must in archives that contain such storms:
10-SEP-2017 08:44. 41.76 N. 142.90 E. 5.4 M. 43 0 HOKKAIDO, JAPAN REGION
10-SEP-2017 15:51. 35.72 N. 139.11 E. 4.6 M. 66 748 NEAR S. COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
10-SEP-2017 19:05. 42.56 N. -111.41 W. 4.2 M. EASTERN IDAHO
06-SEP-2017 07:55. 42.56 N. -111.41 W. 4.1 M. EASTERN IDAHO
09-SEP-2017 08:23. 42.56 N. -111.42 W. 4.1 M. EASTERN IDAHO
10-SEP-2017 11:12. 42.57 N. -111.43 W. 4.6 M. EASTERN IDAHO
05-SEP-2017 20:54. 42.58 N. -111.42 W. 4.3 M. EASTERN IDAHO
10-SEP-2017 09:47. 42.56 N. -111.45 W. 4.7 M. EASTERN IDAHO
Well there's a thing. I'd'n know Idaho eh. Fancy that.
A nice bit of work, if I say so myself. You geologists can stick that in your pipe and smoulder!
No comments:
Post a Comment