Monday, April 06, 2015

Weathercharts for the dates of OK corralled.

With the charts at the following site:
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/dailywxmap/index_20140413.html
it may be possible to compare the events leading up to OK quakes arranged by date. I am presuming the servers involved are showing them in the order I selected them. There is no accounting according to legend. I have no idea why they are not dated:

2010-Feb-27     Marble City     4.3     35.6     -94.9






2010-Oct-13     Langston     4.2     35.89019     -97.26905
Damn!
I just realised the other chart has a date on it and I have to collect them all over again.
2010-Nov-24     Marshall     4.2     36.12546     -97.63979




2011-Nov-05     Wellston     4.2     35.68074     -97.09777
2011-Nov-06      Prague     5.6     35.53162     -96.77137
2011-Nov-06     Coalpont lake     4.2     34.676     -96.499
2011-Nov-08     NE Faxon     4.2     34.5     -98.5















2012-Apr-03     Langston     4.1     35.89254     -97.29209

2013-Apr-16      Guthrie     4.1     35.77453     -97.48264
2013-Apr-16      Marshall     4.1     36.13124     -97.63078
2013-Dec-07     Langston     4.1     35.89136     -97.29668
2013-Dec-29     Prauge     4.1     35.535     -96.757

2014-Feb-09     Marshall     4.0     36.13519     -97.62569

2014-Mar-30     Lindsay     4.0     34.761     -97.55
2014-Mar-30     Ada     4.0     34.8     -96.7
2014-Mar-30     El Reno     4.0     35.5     -98

2014-Apr-05     Antioch     4.1     34.712     -97.542
2014-Apr-06     Wilburton     4.1     34.9     -95.3
2014-Apr-07     Catoosa     4.1     36.2     -95.8
2014-Apr-10     Prauge     4.0     35.519     -96.784












Saturday, April 04, 2015

Gas Fracking. Looking and cooking.

I have never been interested in the petroleum industry. There is no money in it for me. Nobody is going to hire me as an expert or anything. You can find sites for natural gas well by looking at a map and once you know what to look for I am out of the equation. So here is the way you do it. Gas wells are found in the centres of circular depressions that are as regular as cenotes and volcano caldera.

All you need is an aerial or an OS map. Following the contours is easy enough once you "get your eye in". Any beach will show it to you as plain as day. They are called Half Moon Bays. But any regular circular bays will have oil and/or just gas in the centre.

Or not, as the case may be.
I don't have the money to take the risk.
So I am going to die poor.
And saying what I like.

Presumably the gas fracking around Prague, Oklahoma has been going on around the clock since early 2010. So why are there earthquake spike as follows:


2011-11-06 Prague 5.6 35.5 -96.8





1882-10-22 El Reno 5.5 35.4 -97.8





1926-06-20 Bennington 4.9 34 -96.0





1929-12-28 Prague 4.8 35.5 -96.8





1939-06-01 Prague 4.8 35.5 -96.8





1952-04-09 Marshall 4.5 36.1 -97.6





1956-10-30 Arcadia Lake 4.5 35.6 -97.4





1959-06-15 Beaver 4.5 36.5 -100.7





1959-06-17 Wellston 4.4 35.7 -97.1





1961-04-27 Pittsburg 4.4 34.6 -95.9





1974-02-15 Noble 4.4 35.2 -97.3





1990-11-15 Spalding 4.4 35.0 -96.4





1995-01-18 Langston 4.3 35.9 -97.3





1997-09-06 Luther 4.3 35.6 -97.3





2010-02-27 Marble City 4.3 35.6 -94.9
2010-11-24 Marshall 4.2 36.1 -97.7
2010-10-13 Langston 4.2 35.9 -97.3





2011-11-05 Wellston 4.2 35.6 -97.1
2011-11-06 Coalpont lake 4.2 34.6 -96.5
2011-11-08 NE Faxon 4.2 34.5 -98.5





2012-04-03 Langston 4.1 35.8 -97.3





2013-04-16 Guthrie 4.1 35.7 -97.5
2013-04-16 Marshall 4.1 36.1 -97.6
2013-12-07 Langston 4.1 35.8 -97.3
2013-12-29 Prauge 4.1 35.5 -96.8





2014-02-09 Marshall 4.0 36.1 -97.6





2014-03-30 Lindsay 4.0 34.7 -97.6
2014-03-30 Ada 4.0 34.8 -96.7
2014-03-30 El Reno 4.0 35.5 -98





2014-04-05 Antioch 4.1 34.2 -97.5
2014-04-06 Wilburton 4.1 34.9 -95.3
2014-04-07 Catoosa 4.1 36.2 -95.8
2014-04-10 Prauge 4 35.5 -96.8 

Copyright © 2010 Leonard Geophysical Observatory

The majority of these events took place over a few recent years and one third of them over a century prior. They are not very large quakes. The largest of them the equivalent of a near gale. Not a strong gale, an F6 or so on the Beaufort scale. In fact there may well have been something like an F5 blowing in the area at the times of these things. So why are the last 2/3rds not more evenly spaced?

There was a force or lack of force acting with these dates. Most quakes occur in places that have no winds blowing. On meteorological charts these are cols or even actual storm fronts. Storm fronts are similar to tornado and hurricane Eyes. Periods of calm with pressures that are equally balanced. It would pay to learn what was going on in the region for those dates.

I don't have access to that data.

Gas Fracking and Earthquakes in Oklahoma


If anyone affected by the methane gas fracking process is reading this I hope you can ignore the bad language that erupts from time to time in my previous posts as I accommodate trolls and try to deal with a major stupid.
And fail.

The internet is wider open the Dodge and full of the worst kind of detritus that can survive a civil war and there are no cattle to rustle these days. Plenty of Klansmen though. And all sorts of vigilantes.

But, taken at their worst, the arguments -or for want of a better description, the lack of scientific arguments on Usenet is not worse than you are experiencing at the hands of regulated agencies, scientific institutions, journalism and the US justice system/Big Oil.

Here for example is the litany of evidence as presented scientifically by agencies who only seek to obscure their ignorance. (Who, for example would present the information in this manner?)

Date         City         Mag         Latitude         Longitude

2011-Nov-06          Prague         5.6         35.53162         -96.77137
1952-Apr-09         El Reno         5.5         35.4         -97.8
1882-Oct-22         Bennington         4.9         34         -96
2011-Nov-08         Prague         4.8         35.5179         -96.7858
2011-Nov-05         Prague         4.8         35.53849         -96.78069
2014-Mar-30         Marshall         4.5         36.13092         -97.62912
2013-Dec-07         Arcadia Lake         4.5         35.607         -97.38468
1974-Feb-15          Beaver         4.5         36.5         -100.693
2013-Apr-16          Wellston         4.4         35.68623         -97.08884
2012-Apr-03         Pittsburg         4.4         34.63852         -95.88232
2010-Oct-13         Noble         4.4         35.17552         -97.32081
1939-Jun-01         Spalding         4.4         35         -96.4
2014-Apr-07         Langston         4.3         35.89131         -97.27518
2010-Nov-24         Luther         4.3         35.612         -97.252
1926-Jun-20         Marble City         4.3         35.6         -94.9
2014-Mar-30         Marshall         4.2         36.12546         -97.63979
2014-Apr-06         Langston         4.2         35.89019         -97.26905
2013-Apr-16          Wellston         4.2         35.68074         -97.09777
1997-Sep-06         Coalpont lake         4.2         34.676         -96.499
1959-Jun-17          NE Faxon         4.2         34.5         -98.5
2014-Feb-09         Langston         4.1         35.89254         -97.29209
2014-Apr-10         Guthrie         4.1         35.77453         -97.48264
2014-Apr-05         Marshall         4.1         36.13124         -97.63078
2013-Dec-29         Langston         4.1         35.89136         -97.29668
2010-Feb-27         Prauge         4.1         35.535         -96.757
1995-Jan-18         Antioch         4.1         34.712         -97.542
1961-Apr-27         Wilburton         4.1         34.9         -95.3
1956-Oct-30         Catoosa         4.1         36.2         -95.8
2011-Nov-06         Prauge         4.0         35.519         -96.784
2014-Mar-30         Marshall         4.0         36.13519         -97.62569
1990-Nov-15         Lindsay         4.0         34.761         -97.55
1959-Jun-15         Ada         4.0         34.8         -96.7
1929-Dec-28         El Reno         4.0         35.5         -98

Copyright © 2010 Leonard Geophysical Observatory 


http://www.okgeosurvey1.gov/pages/earthquakes/information.php

It is the nearest you can get to criminal obfuscation without proving intent.

What the general public wants to know (and what the specialist agencies KNOW they want to know (and ALL the vested interests listed above DON'T want you to know)) is:
 
2011-Nov-06          Prague         5.6         35.53162         -96.77137
2011-Nov-08         Prague         4.8         35.5179         -96.7858
2011-Nov-05         Prague         4.8         35.53849         -96.78069
2014-Mar-30         Marshall         4.5         36.13092         -97.62912
2013-Dec-07         Arcadia Lake         4.5         35.607         -97.38468
2013-Apr-16          Wellston         4.4         35.68623         -97.08884
2012-Apr-03         Pittsburg         4.4         34.63852         -95.88232
2010-Oct-13         Noble         4.4         35.17552         -97.32081
2014-Apr-07         Langston         4.3         35.89131         -97.27518
2010-Nov-24         Luther         4.3         35.612         -97.252
2014-Mar-30         Marshall         4.2         36.12546         -97.63979
2014-Apr-06         Langston         4.2         35.89019         -97.26905
2013-Apr-16          Wellston         4.2         35.68074         -97.09777
2014-Feb-09         Langston         4.1         35.89254         -97.29209
2014-Apr-10         Guthrie         4.1         35.77453         -97.48264
2014-Apr-05         Marshall         4.1         36.13124         -97.63078
2013-Dec-29         Langston         4.1         35.89136         -97.29668
2010-Feb-27         Prauge         4.1         35.535         -96.757
2011-Nov-06         Prauge         4.0         35.519         -96.784
2014-Mar-30         Marshall         4.0         36.13519         -97.62569

Of the 33 earthquakes large enough to register world-wide since records began in 1882 the year that lead up to the freezing weather that pulled the plug on cattle drives: twenty of them (20/33) 0.60606060606.
 
Or to keep it simple for the folks it is intended to bamboozle:
Two thirds of them occurred in a region prone to tremors at the rate of one every ten years...
in 3 1/2 years.

1952-Apr-09         El Reno         5.5         35.4         -97.8
1882-Oct-22         Bennington         4.9         34         -96
1974-Feb-15          Beaver         4.5         36.5         -100.693
1939-Jun-01         Spalding         4.4         35         -96.4
1926-Jun-20         Marble City         4.3         35.6         -94.9
1997-Sep-06         Coalpont lake         4.2         34.676         -96.499
1959-Jun-17          NE Faxon         4.2         34.5         -98.5
1995-Jan-18         Antioch         4.1         34.712         -97.542
1961-Apr-27         Wilburton         4.1         34.9         -95.3
1956-Oct-30         Catoosa         4.1         36.2         -95.8
1990-Nov-15         Lindsay         4.0         34.761         -97.55
1959-Jun-15         Ada         4.0         34.8         -96.7
1929-Dec-28         El Reno         4.0         35.5         -98

Get it?
One every 10 years then 20 every 4.16 years.

Or, for those who like to manipulate statistics: 20 every 50 months.
My maths is pretty poor, someone can correct it I am sure but 1 every 75 days is a lot more than one every forty thousand to forty five thousand days.

Open up a spreadsheet and arrange them in order of magnitude by all means but keep the data in context. Rather than arranging them by largest quake forst, I'd arrange them by date:

2011-Nov-06      Prague     5.6     35.53162     -96.77137

1882-Oct-22     El Reno     5.5     35.4     -97.8

1926-Jun-20     Bennington     4.9     34     -96

1929-Dec-28     Prague     4.8     35.5179     -96.7858

1939-Jun-01     Prague     4.8     35.53849     -96.78069

1952-Apr-09     Marshall     4.5     36.13092     -97.62912

1956-Oct-30     Arcadia Lake     4.5     35.607     -97.38468

1959-Jun-15     Beaver     4.5     36.5     -100.693

1959-Jun-17      Wellston     4.4     35.68623     -97.08884

1961-Apr-27     Pittsburg     4.4     34.63852     -95.88232

1974-Feb-15      Noble     4.4     35.17552     -97.32081

1990-Nov-15     Spalding     4.4     35     -96.4

1995-Jan-18     Langston     4.3     35.89131     -97.27518

1997-Sep-06     Luther     4.3     35.612     -97.252

2010-Feb-27     Marble City     4.3     35.6     -94.9
2010-Nov-24     Marshall     4.2     36.12546     -97.63979
2010-Oct-13     Langston     4.2     35.89019     -97.26905

2011-Nov-05     Wellston     4.2     35.68074     -97.09777
2011-Nov-06     Coalpont lake     4.2     34.676     -96.499
2011-Nov-08     NE Faxon     4.2     34.5     -98.5

2012-Apr-03     Langston     4.1     35.89254     -97.29209

2013-Apr-16      Guthrie     4.1     35.77453     -97.48264
2013-Apr-16      Marshall     4.1     36.13124     -97.63078
2013-Dec-07     Langston     4.1     35.89136     -97.29668
2013-Dec-29     Prauge     4.1     35.535     -96.757

2014-Feb-09     Marshall     4.0     36.13519     -97.62569

2014-Mar-30     Lindsay     4.0     34.761     -97.55
2014-Mar-30     Ada     4.0     34.8     -96.7
2014-Mar-30     El Reno     4.0     35.5     -98

2014-Apr-05     Antioch     4.1     34.712     -97.542
2014-Apr-06     Wilburton     4.1     34.9     -95.3
2014-Apr-07     Catoosa     4.1     36.2     -95.8
2014-Apr-10     Prauge     4.0     35.519     -96.784

There is forcing here. I won't be considered an expert witness. I might even be used in a smear campaign in order to get the statistics laughed out of court. But I can see that the loading is not sequential but composite.

Once the aquifers were charged adding more filthy water to it wouldn't cause the episodes. They were caused by the same triggering mechanisms that cause earthquakes any cycle of any century.

If they could gain access to the documentation of water use, you will find that the wells needed recharging after the quakes. It is only when charged can the earth react to the first cause.

It is not known (but it is not necessary to know) what the first cause is. My own personal beliefs may be misleading. I am sure that they can be used by interested parties to be damaging to the case as far as the innocent are concerned. I personally believe that the innocent will be the civilians who have been hurt and the criminals will be the ones who have profited.

But I am just going by the adage of "Follow the Money". In which case you could say this has all been engineered by a conspiracy of lawyers. They fight on both sides.

It is difficult to deal with stuff like this impartially. On the side of the defence for the Gas Companies, there well may be a method for alleviating this stress without causing damage -or a way of continuing the fracking business, presenting the innocent home owners with options and warnings for periods when seismic activity is highly likely.

How might this be done?